617
Price is overbought on the monthly and weekly money flow and RSI..

This current rang trade is likely distribution
snapshot


Also we are 30% extended from the 50 SMA . This is extreme
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I would buy this at all up here , I think we will retest 104-108 (Weekly200ma) on a pullback before we break over 150.


I don't know when this distribution breaks and price resets but until then you can just trade the range 145-130...
snapshot

Id take a short at 145-150 a few months out . .stop loss over 150.


Below I will show you a perfect example of price being extended and over bought at resistance and distributing..

This is AVGO.

Notice how it tagged it's trendline (Red arrow.
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Now at that point the technicals were pretty overbought similar to where baba is now

Now zoom in here and notice price traded in what looked like a bullish pennant here at resistance
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But look how it panned out
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It was never a pennant, it was distribution in disguise..

every now and then you get a meme type of movement like PLTR or Mstr where technicals are thrown to the window but I don't think this is it

Note
I knew this was distribution... Now you know how to spot it too...

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