Positional Trading Setup for Bajaj Finserv (NSE)

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📊 Technical Setup:
Current Price: ₹1,593.55 (-0.33%)
Range: ₹1,565 (L) – ₹1,612 (H)
Key Levels:

Support: ₹1,565 (Recent Low) / ₹1,500 (Strong Base)

Resistance: ₹1,612 → ₹1,700 → ₹2,085 (ATH)

Indicators:

Supertrend (10,3): Neutral (Watch for bullish flip above ₹1,620).

TEMA (5,9,20): Flat – Needs momentum breakout.

Trade Plan:

Entry: ₹1,580-1,600 (Dip near support)

Stop Loss: ₹1,530 (3-4% risk)

Targets: ₹1,700 (Intermediate) → ₹2,000+ (Positional)

RRR: 1:4 (₹50 risk → ₹200+ reward)

🏦 Business Overview:
Sector: Financial Services (NBFC)
Key Strengths:

Diversified Biz: Lending (Consumer/Commercial), Insurance, Wealth Mgmt.

Parent Backing: Bajaj Group’s strong brand & distribution.

Growth Drivers: Rural finance, digital lending, ULIP demand.

Risks:

Rising NPAs in unsecured loans.

RBI tightening norms for NBFCs.

🎯 Why This Trade?
Chart: Near support with ATH potential (+30% upside).

Fundamentals: ROE ~18%, PAT growth ~25% (5Y CAGR).

Sectoral Tailwind: Financials bullish in rate-cut cycle.

⚠️ Watch For: Q4 earnings (May’24) & RBI policy impact.

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