Long

BCH fork action appended to pre-fork data

By tomtourettes
Updated
The price action for this chart is defined by the average of BCHABC across 4 exchanges(Poloniex, Bitfinex, Binance, and Bitstamp) added to the average of BCHSV across 3 exchanges(Bitfinex, Binance, and Poloniex). I copied the pre-fork price action from BCHUSD @ bithumb(where BCHABC is currently trading at about a $150 premium), appended it to this chart and meticulously lined up several key swing highs and swing lows so I could do some somewhat accurate analysis on the chart. In hindsight, I should have used a vertical line to make sure I didn't mess up the horizontal scale as I was adjusting the pre-fork data to fit correctly.

Personally, I'm bullish on BCHABC and bearish on BCHSV. If one considers the possibility of BCH technically being the original chain of bitcoin as NIST claims, in my opinion it's easy to understand why this fork was so important and why it seemed to have had such an impact on the crypto market as a whole. My bullishness on BTC in the short-term is currently somewhat dependent on BCHABC continuing to win the battle. To make the chart a lot more interesting, I've overlaid the individual prices of BCHABC and BCHSV. It will be quite interesting(to me) to see BCHABC at binance react to the TA from this chart...

Bitcoin's latest bear trap hit the downtrend line on my falling wedge perfectly, currently bouncing right off(see the related "personalized bitcoin index" chart and press play)...

Note: As with my related chart I just mentioned, in this version, I sacrifice accuracy of the volume indicator to get a slightly more accurate price reading, correcting the average price against any movement of USDT/USD at Kraken. In a couple weeks or so after Coinbase finally stops holding the coins hostage and the dust settles, I'll follow it up with another one with a more accurate volume indicator that will either disregard USDT pairs altogether or otherwise not worry about what happens with USDT.

Current formula: (BINANCE:BCHABCUSDT*KRAKEN:USDTUSD+BITFINEX:BABUSD+POLONIEX:BCHABCUSDC+BITSTAMP:BCHUSD)/4+(BITFINEX:BSVUSD+BINANCE:BCHSVUSDT*KRAKEN:USDTUSD+POLONIEX:BCHSVUSDC)/3
Comment
A 15m version with a couple modifications from SineBoyWaveMan
BITCOIN CASH SLAP FIGHT
Comment
Looking at BCH as if it had never forked, currently sitting on a 1.27 extension of significant medium-term swing. This along with my analysis on BTCUSDSHORTS and BTCUSDLONGS lead me to remain more bullish than neutral at this level, at least in the short-term.

snapshot
Comment
Now including coinbase:
BCH Fork War - BCHABC vs BCHSV vs the Sum of the Two
bcashbchabcbchsvBitcoin (Cryptocurrency)BTCFibonacciFORKidcincmoonshotsatoshiSupport and ResistanceTrend Lines
tomtourettes

Related publications

Disclaimer