🤷♀️ Scam with alts in 2024-2025 (?)
Trying to perceive the data objectively, which raised questions about the market...
DYDX appeared with ~80mln tokens cycled, based on which it was valued at $26. End of 2021 — market turned around from highs and started an endless decline. DYDX too.
In 2025, because of unlocked tokens, we will see DYDX circulate about 800 million tokens. That is 10 times more.
When we look at a chart like this, we think "if it was $26, it will be much more!"
BUT NOT A FACT! Why?
1) The price of an asset used to be counted as capitalization / 80mn tokens = price
2) In 2025 there will already be 800 million tokens (unlocks).
3) If capitalization in 2025 increases by a factor of 10, and there will be 800mn tokens, then the price of the asset will be only... $5
😈 And how can we be scammed?
Psychology and math. We're used to new assets updating their ATH. But based on the new tokenomics... it just doesn't add up.
So I don't understand...
a) Either they will "draw" the capitalization as FTT and it's pure scam, but the price will spike into space = everyone will make money
b) Either they have it all figured out to trick us, and by providing public info = everyone will forget to sell
Alts will definitely give X's, but we should not miss the moment of sale.