I want to share with you some interesting statistics about the price of Bitcoin during previous halvings. As you know, halving is an event when the amount of new bitcoins that are mined is reduced by half. This leads to a reduction in the supply of bitcoins in the market, which can affect their price.
Let's take a look at what happened to the price of Bitcoin during previous halvings. Each halving had its stages of development, which include four phases:
Bull Market,
Bear Market,
Accumulation,
Expansion.
The first halving occurred in 2012, and the price of one bitcoin was $12.2. After that halving, the price increased by 6.6 times.
The second halving occurred in 2016, and the price of one bitcoin was $657. After that halving, the price increased by 12.9 times.
The third halving occurred in 2020, and the price of one bitcoin was $8,500.
Now we are waiting for the fourth halving, which will occur in 2024. Each of these stages is characterized by certain market trends.
Bull Market: This is a period of rising asset prices. In the case of Bitcoin, it means that the price is rising. This stage can last from several months to several years.
Bear Market: This is a period of falling asset prices. In the case of Bitcoin, it means that the price is falling. This stage can also last from several months to several years.
Accumulation: This is a period when the price seems stable but is usually at a low level. This stage can last from several months to several years.
Expansion: this is a period when the price starts to rise again after a previous accumulation period. This stage can last from several months to several years. It should be noted that not all halvings were accompanied by the same market phases, but this is a general pattern that can be observed in the Bitcoin market.
Therefore, based on historical data, it can be argued that the halving affects the price of Bitcoin. However, the halving is not the only factor that affects the price. Other factors such as news, government regulations, and technical aspects can also affect the price of Bitcoin.
It is also important to note that it is difficult to predict the exact developments of Bitcoin prices. Although history can give us a general idea of how the price may change in the future, the actual impact on the price depends on many factors that may turn out to be unpredictable.
Therefore, for traders and investors, it is important to study the market, analyze news and technical aspects, and be prepared for unpredictable events in order to make the best decisions for their portfolio.
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Best regards, [Oleksandr Validuda]