This is based off of stock 2 flow and statistical bands. In prior cycles, the cycle high tends to head towards the low range of the top s2f bands. The next s2f band bottom is 200-250k. This would be a blow-off top. The fair value could be more around 80k. I think the blow-off top will be more conservative than prior cycles because of mature money entering. Bigger funds and names will take profit earlier or not demand the buys as high as in prior cycles. This puts between $150-200k+ upper bound.
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