BTC Possible highs lows - my independent thesis

This is my BTC thesis using simple metrics - not taking into consideration the BTC halving event
I have taken each BTC bull and bear cycles from start to finish to find an average bull and bear cycle beginning and end
Also using a simple metric to guesstimate a 2 possible market highs for BTC this time around.
I cannot add variables such as black swan events - or possible unforeseen / planned attacks to the BTC network
These are my own thoughts only and should not be perceived as financial advice.
please feel fee to critique
Trend Analysis

Disclaimer