Of course there is tons of economic uncertainty and this bear market is truly different, but based on the facts in the charts we can learn some key information. Based on our 4 year cycle theories this leads us to believe things will not be different as we are following our patterns perfectly.
Black arrow - This date range shows us that between 365-400 days our bottom will be put in from our cycle top. If this plays out this cycle, we should see a bear market bottom sometime around the end of December 2022. This would coincide with previous cycles and make since for tax purposes.
Blue arrow- The blue date range shows us that between 1100-1140 days after hitting our bear market bottom we reach our previous ATH. If we hit our bottom in December 2022 this would put us back to $65-69k around mid November 2024 which is right in line with US elections and the significance they have had in the past with crypto cycles.
Purple arrow- This date range shows us the the time from our bear market bottom to our next cycle peak. So far our past 2 cycles have been exactly 1064 days. If we hit our bear market bottom in December 2022 this should put our next cycle peak around the beginning of December 2025.
Again this is just a theory based on previous cycles. The dates are very correlated and make a lot of sense. I do not know what price our bear market bottom will be our next cycle top, but based on these trends I can tell you the date we might hit those key moments in the macro trend.
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