BITCOIN FILLED CME GAP

198
Today BTC might have bounced-off a 5 months away gap.


OPPORTUNITY :

Ideal buy was in the now filled CME GAP.
We might revisit these price, so 79100$ remain a good spot for a BUY/LONG alert.

General buy zone is from 72.5k$ to 85k$ and should last until approximately mid April.


TARGETS :

Ideal sell would be 136425$ in late July (23/07).

Probable sell zone go from 130k$ to 160k$ and should span from early June to early August.

MAXIMAL $ TARGET :
- There is still a chance for a powerful leg up, in the event of prices nearing 200k$, profit will have to be taken regularly and without restraint.

MINIMAL $ TARGET :
- A faillure to break above last ATH, so 110k$ is definitely a partial sell price (and will react).

MAXIMAL time TARGET :
- All positions (including altcoins) should be closed before October 2025.



Based on

Chart Tools :
- Fibonacci levels from Retracement and Extension
- Expansion/Consolidation periods durations tendencies from this bullrun
- Regression over time of said periods
- Percent change of said Expansions periods

Statistical Arguments :
- Past Bitcoin cycles (2016 & 2021) general seasonality
- Coinglass's Bull-Market-Peak-Signals had 0/30 indicators showing a top

Fundamentals :
- Optimistic US inflation
- Peace negociations
- Pro-business policies
- Blockchain technology usage growth
- Bitcoin & major crypto adoption in finance

Bias :
- Up-trend intact
- No hard corrections compared to previous bullrun
- I guess i could use some profit
Note
BTC Retracement Time Average Quotient

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