A classic breakout setup in a bull market. A break here will likely result to a 24% rise to roughly $63,000 Conversely if its a fuckery move (false breakout) we could see BTC drop to as low as $25,000. What could cause a BTC to drop 50%? Interest rates continue rising rapidly cause compression between Bond yield and Earnings yield. Currently 1.56% & 2.56% respectively.
This can cause a risk off sentiment sell everything event taking BTC down with it.
Lastly, with commodities rising rapidly since April when the #MMT ENDLESS TRILLIONS TO ALL for all began. (I posted it here then)
The move in commodities Crypto made a lot of sense since interest rates were at or near zero across the entire spectrum. Rendering bonds, stocks to essentially behave like commodities/Cryptos that have no earnings. Not to mention the devaluation of the DXY (dollar).
With another $1.9 trillion "Relief package" in deficits we will end the year with deficits to GDP of 25% ($5 trillion). Provided no new "Green New Deal" is passed. Then we can easily exceed these numbers.
For now I remain bullish in BTC for reasons I maintain for subscribers and not mentioned anywhere today. As a hint I believe BTC will eventually become Global Parallel Dual currency system but we are not there yet. Patreon.com/RealMacro to learn more.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.