we touched the SMA and didnt like it, more downside possible

Updated
as the title suggest, we touched the weekly 20 and daily 100 (in two candles) and were rejected from both. bitcoin hasnt risen above the daily 100 since april, and the weekly 20 has been important as both support and resistance the past few years. green bars in macd touched the top of their trendline, stoch still hasnt broken down, it all looks fundamental to me but maybe i am missing something, i know ive been a cynic for awhile but i truly see this as the likely scenario. we probably will go sideways for another week or so, since i am charting the macro weekly.
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this area is also the .382 of the aug 15th high and sept 21st low, which we are closing underneath after testing for a 3rd day in a row.
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5 days in a row now we've been rejected from this area.
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whelp, it has begun.
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