Hello Traders,
This H+S has been staring me in the face for the last 10 days already so its time I made a chart about it.
As you can see, price since $13900 has been in a corrective wave pattern. That 3rd lower high at $12274 has dropped the price to the neckline of this H+S monster. I was expecting a bounce on the daily 100 MA to around the $10800 - $11000 region which is where the daily 50 MA is (acting as resistance) but from what I have seen so far this bounce is weak and i'm not sure price will make it.
All eyes are on that neckline. As with all H+S patterns it becomes valid on break of the neckline with high sell volume.
"IF" that neckline should break with decent volume I can see a brutal 30-35% drop happening, right down to my roughly drawn weekly 50 MA in purple, target $7000 to $6000.
Bulls have to hold that neckline and the daily 100 MA for the next 15- 20 days, preferably with the price going upwards. A break upwards past the diagonal downtrend lines would be bullish and would invalidate this TA but I personally don't see it happening.