Bitcoin
Short

Bitcoin at Resistance – Time to Short?

116
🧠 Summary:
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has moved up to the upper part of the resistance zone I highlighted in my previous analysis. That analysis still holds—I’m still expecting BTC to start pulling back from here.

🔍 Key Levels:
- Resistance zone: $94 000 - $98 000
- Support zone: $86 000 - $83 000
- Major Support zone: $72 000 - $68 000

📅 Upcoming Events:

Wednesday:
FOMC & Fed rate decision – No rate cuts expected at this time.

Thursday:
Initial Jobless Claims – Est. 234K

📊 Macro & Fed Context:
Last week’s data came in softer than expected, sparking a brief market rally. However, that data was released before the new tariffs. Tomorrow (Wednesday) is the FOMC meeting—while Trump is pushing for rate cuts, I don’t expect Powell to move yet.

The Fed is likely waiting for post-tariff economic data before making any decisions. The data in the coming months will provide a clearer picture and help guide future rate cuts more effectively.

📈 Technical Outlook:
BTC is retracing and showing signs of weakness at the current high, which I believe will serve as a local top. It’s possible we retest the $98.8K$99K range again, but I expect that to be the absolute ceiling.

🧭 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice):
I’m entering a short position here with an average entry around $96K.

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