Bitcoin
Long
Updated

Tight Bollinger Band: Bullish BTC

176
Finally after deep-corrections, we are in a position similar to early April. The entire May went red. Now we expect June to be green. The current BB is very tight and ready to explode. I am bullish and expecting a test of 7800-8200 critical zone. if that zone breaksout with a strong candle, I will anticipate a test of 10k and most likely a new lower high higher than Feb 11.7.
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Dear all, Just a quick update if you are anxiously waiting, BTC hasn't broken down & didn't break the important level to confirm a test below ~6800. Obviously, it is the first red day after 4-successive green days. 5H constantly presses Hidden Bullish Divergence, which is a follow-up of end-May Regular Bullish Divergence pattern. Should the price doesn't trade below the previous low (annotated on the DC: 7344.8 - 7279.6; You may also use BB as reference points but you won't be able to easily trace the previous low/highs), the up-trend has higher chances to continue. Contrarily, you can assume a re-test of the April/Feb Lows. The current low volume & low volatility can only print Highs/Lows that mostly equate to Daily ATR=337 (the max. daily profit on 1x lev). So far, I stay calm & abide by my view. I do expect a recovery in the next couple of https://days...nnnnnhttps://invst.ly/7n0f-.....GL with your positions. Short
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Here is my projected date & the consolidating triangle that we have been seeing. Details are on the chart. Note that we have been trading within the MA365-200 channel throughout the past two months which defines the broad range. The best news so far is 50/100 SMA cross....chart with https://annotation...nnnnhttps://invst.ly/7n0od... The big question will remain when will we expect the golden cross, where a mature guess comes in. It didn't take to long to see 50/100 day cross though! Just a thought... and good luck!
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BTC once again got a bounce from the MA365 on daily with an engulfing pattern equating the daily ATR. Unfortunately, the pump was very low & suspicious. My recent idea on 5H setup has been confirmed (regular bullish div followed by hidden bullish div to continue up-trend while the DC: 7344.8 - 7279.6 didn't break) & the price should test highs. I locked some profits at 7650 and will continue take profits in reverse order until BTC tests Fib50%(recent H/L). Again, note that I am eyeing the next swing zone (limit June 23, 2018) based on my fib arc/time zone extension studies. Good luck!

For now we may consider 7048 as a solid support & start counting the next impulsive wave (3) on daily while looking at volume based TIs. If the wave get a momentum, the b/o of 7778 with an extension (1.618) will take it straight to 8200 area. However, my main worry is the low volume & ATR / volatility & thus a re-test of 9990 sounds difficult but not impossible.
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Post yesterday's pump & two important spikes, the manipulation goes along and the price continues to recover from the deep on a neutral RSI=44 with some strong momentum on daily (STOCH=75; ADX=40; CCI=94; UO=54; FT=1.0). I consider MACD(-254) lagging thus it remains negative. With two important crosses [long term: MA50/MA100; Short term: DEMA(9,26)] and positive momentum (ChandeMo=44; MO=273), the price should test 7800-8200 zone.
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