Bitcoin

BTC, 7 Jan. A Tale of Two Bear Markets.

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These charts compare the two bear markets of Jun/Jul 21 and Dec/Jan 22.

Both bear markets coincide with a lunar and solar eclipse (arrows).

The 2021 bear market lasted roughly 3 times 30 days. The midpoint between the eclipses was also the midpoint of the bear market. Liftoff occurred 47 days afterwards.

In both cases we see a capitulation candle and a range afterwards. In 2021 price bounced off the channel median and then off the upper boundary before the rally.

Although the similarities are striking, we can’t derive a specific prediction from it, except the observation that eclipses appear to have a negative effect on the crypto market.

The next solar eclipse is on 30 Apr, and the lunar eclipse on 18 May.

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