#BTC has been range-bound on the weekly , recently forming an SFP below the range low but failing to close below the Feb and Mar 10th lows. Could we see an SFP above the RH ($90K) before moving lower, potentially toward the 
65K-$72K target? That remains to be seen. The HTF MS remains bearish, and until it shifts, the risk to the downside is high. For a bullish shift on the weekly, we need weekly closes above $94000. Until then, downside risk persists.
On LTF/MTF: I update my analysis regularly, but for now, I’m considering a few scenarios:
👉a. BTC could bounce from an 18H HOB if the 2H HOB breaks, potentially aligning with USDT.D hitting a 23H HOB at 5.62%. This might form a DB at a 22H PHOB at 5.35%, or USDT.D could target a 12D demand or a 22H HOB at 5.15%.
👉b. BTC might bounce, breaking the current 21H OB, and reach the HTF supply at $90K, while USDT.D takes the 23H PHOB and possibly the 22H HOB before rising to 5.77%-6.01%.
Also note, the daily close below the $84600 SH shows weakness on the chart. There’s little to do until we either reach $72K or see an MS shift, which could open risky upside trades. These are risky because we haven’t taken the liquidity needed for higher prices. MT also mentioned that higher prices without key level breaks are likely a bull trap. Avoid heavy trades until direction is clear.
Until then, we focus on taking LTF scalp trades 🤝
65K-$72K target? That remains to be seen. The HTF MS remains bearish, and until it shifts, the risk to the downside is high. For a bullish shift on the weekly, we need weekly closes above $94000. Until then, downside risk persists.On LTF/MTF: I update my analysis regularly, but for now, I’m considering a few scenarios:
👉a. BTC could bounce from an 18H HOB if the 2H HOB breaks, potentially aligning with USDT.D hitting a 23H HOB at 5.62%. This might form a DB at a 22H PHOB at 5.35%, or USDT.D could target a 12D demand or a 22H HOB at 5.15%.
👉b. BTC might bounce, breaking the current 21H OB, and reach the HTF supply at $90K, while USDT.D takes the 23H PHOB and possibly the 22H HOB before rising to 5.77%-6.01%.
Also note, the daily close below the $84600 SH shows weakness on the chart. There’s little to do until we either reach $72K or see an MS shift, which could open risky upside trades. These are risky because we haven’t taken the liquidity needed for higher prices. MT also mentioned that higher prices without key level breaks are likely a bull trap. Avoid heavy trades until direction is clear.
Until then, we focus on taking LTF scalp trades 🤝
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.