Obviously, this is not technically robust. Even to make the visual comparison, the two are on different timescales. It just occurred to me how similar, at a basic level, the two charts are.
On the left, the opening days of the 2017 retracement. On the right, where we are now.
2017 took a strong turn to the downside after touching the 0.786 Fibonacci. My tentative projection is that BTC will do the same now. It will touch the 0.786, at
54K, and turn down to $37k, in an A-B-C movement.
You can find via my profile an elaboration, using Fibonacci level analysis, of why this may occur now, tied to the January retracement and the entire movement dating back to the crossing of the previous ATH late last year. I see this also as an unfolding retracement within the Crypto Total Market Cap, to retest the
1T mark.
On the left, the opening days of the 2017 retracement. On the right, where we are now.
2017 took a strong turn to the downside after touching the 0.786 Fibonacci. My tentative projection is that BTC will do the same now. It will touch the 0.786, at
54K, and turn down to $37k, in an A-B-C movement. You can find via my profile an elaboration, using Fibonacci level analysis, of why this may occur now, tied to the January retracement and the entire movement dating back to the crossing of the previous ATH late last year. I see this also as an unfolding retracement within the Crypto Total Market Cap, to retest the
1T mark.Note
For anyone who opens the chart and is curious, I'm setting the 2017 Fibonacci at bottoming around 02 February 2018, and discounting the sharp drop 04-06 February, which I think was a flash correlation between the BTC chart and the closing of the Dow 665 points down on Friday, 02 February — the worst week for markets in two years.Note
I just want to make absolutely clear, in case it wasn't clear, that I'm not suggesting the end of the BTC bull run. The comparison is only to show the similarity between now and 2017 as BTC tries to reach the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the upside bounce. From there, in my view (elaborated on other charts), BTC will bottom at $37k before seeing an epic upswing to 
73K, probably within March, and will continue on to at least $100k, and perhaps $200k this bull run. The 2017 comparison is not suggesting the bull run is ending. We're probably only a third of the way in for BTC.Note
10 Mar 2021 08:47:57: As of time of writing, this chart comparison has all but proven invalid. I've been detailing the critical point of $55k here: 
AgitationZone | TA-focused cryptocurrency Discord channel discord.gg/atGcaRzz
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
AgitationZone | TA-focused cryptocurrency Discord channel discord.gg/atGcaRzz
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.