The price of bitcoin has always had highly volatile cycles. BTC fundamentals aside, we are technically rising towards 350k on a Weekly/Monthy timeframe, expected to be reached in 2024. On a Daily/ Weekly timeframe , we are technically expecting to see a retest of the 47k, maybe even close to 50k region. We should technically see a low of around 18k towards the end of 2021 or perhaps early in 2022.
These figures and timelines are based upon a detailed analysis of historical FIBs, Weekly EMAs, fractals, and market cycles.
Fundamentally, the price of bitcoin is being brought down by two major causes:
1. Environmental concerns.
2. China.
Environmental concerns are the biggest fundamental burden for future bitcoin bullish momentum, growth and adoption. Considering that such a large portion of 'dirty' miners are considered to be based in China, and if their own government forces them to shut down operations, I would expect the environmental impact of bitcoin to improve substantially. Furthermore, the world is trending towards technological improvements in renewable energy, which is quickly becoming a cheaper alternative to 'dirty' sources, hence the mining of bitcoin should follow this same trend.
I am leaving this price prediction as a public idea for my own future reference. As with any prediction, only time will confirm or deny this price prediction. Please DYOR.
Cheers,
Timmy.