BTC - Bitcoin remains bullish across swing and long-term horizons, supported by strong institutional inflows, favorable macro tailwinds, and robust technical momentum. Short-term signals show mixed sentiment due to overbought conditions and minor bearish patterns.🎯 Short-Term Tactics (Intraday: minutes–hours)
My bias is neutral to slightly bearish. Currently bearish divergence and range trading between 103,000 (support) and 105,000 (resistance). Close below 103,000 signals bearish continuation.
📅 Near-Term Outlook (Swing: days–weeks)
My bias is bullish, cautious due to overbought RSI.
Continued institutional inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, global liquidity injections.
Key Levels are support at 95,000; resistance at 105,000. Invalidation: Daily close below 95,000 flips bias bearish, indicating deeper correction. Buy dips toward support; avoid chasing at resistance.
🌐 Long-Term Thesis (Investment: months+)
My bias is strongly bullish - macro drivers are institutional adoption (record inflows), Fed dovish pivot expectations, global liquidity expansion (e.g., China RRR cut). Maintain or increase BTC exposure; consider incremental accumulation on pullbacks to support. Critical support at psychological 100,000 level. Invalidation: Weekly close below 100,000 or sustained reversal in institutional inflows.
Long-term bullish thesis remains intact unless macro or fund-flow regime materially changes.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.