Bitcoin

Bitcoin: a break-through

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During the previous week BTC finally made a break-through from previous levels, reaching the highest weekly level at $95,5K. This move was supported by fundamentals. On one side there was a sort of relaxation of the US-China trade war, at least based on comments from the US Administration, which continues to be highly mixed. In addition, the Federal Reserve withdrew the crypto guidance for banks, which required banks to notify or get approval before engaging in the crypto or stablecoin activities. This further supported the BTC to trade at higher levels.
With the strong move toward the upside, the RSI reached the clear overbought market side, at the level of 70. In technical analysis, this is a sign of an increased potential for a reversal in the coming period. The MA50 halted the divergence from MA200, after the tow lines made a cross two weeks ago.

The Saturday trading session brought some relaxation in the price of BTC, which the coin is ending around the level of $94,3K. Thai could be treated as the “normal” move after a strong push of price to the upside. The relaxation might continue in the week ahead, as the market already priced all known information. Some volatility might be expected based on macro data, especially on Friday, as both NFP and unemployment data are set for a release. At this moment, some stronger reversal should not be expected. The next support line lies at $93K, which could be shortly tested. The further way to the upside is possible only in case of some strong fundamentals. The BTC might spend some time around the $95K considering that it needs to be properly tested.

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