Alot of interesting data at the moment, in the short-term everything is looking quite stretched and oversold most notably with an ascending wedge forming, along with a few sell signals on resistance, we will need some volume to break up out of this at the moment it is holding, I am leaning quite bearish in the short term due to this with a break down of the triangle to potentially 19.5k - 19.8k area of support. A break up however will move to 21.7k with little resistance in the way.
The long term however is a different story with some big bullish signals showing now most notably the contrarian reversal signal on the weekly for alpha prime sat on a macro trendline support, this coupled with the newly formed descending wedge on the daily is telling me we are not far off an imminent push up over the next 4 weeks, this could be the start....bull rally loading!
Otherwise coming to the end of the consolidation now so biggish move expected.
Technical Analysis Bullish Factors: + Wave Dip buy signal on the daily (very strong) + Contrarian Reversal on the Weekly on Macro Trendline + Descending Wedge on the 1D + Wave Dip Buy Forming on the 1Day
Technical Analysis Bearish Factors: - Head & Shoulders on the 5min - Pullback signal on the 1hr - Wave trend Oversold on 1hr - Peak Signal on the Alpha Wave on 1hr - Weekly Pivot Filled - CME Gap filled - 200 EMA resistance - Under key resistance - Ascending Wedge
Bear: - Chinese police arrest over 200 people linked to one of the country’s largest banking scandals ever. - FBI issues #DeFi crypto vulnerabilities warning.
METRICS (Last 24 hours):
EXCHANGE: + Exchange Reserve - As the exchange reserve continues to fall, it indicates lower selling pressure. - Exchange Netflow Total - Net deposits on exchanges are high compared to the 7-day average. Higher deposits can be interpreted as higher selling pressure.
MINERS: / Miners' Position Index ( MPI ) - Miners' are selling holdings in a moderate range compared to its one-year average. Moderately selling Last Value: -0.90908933 24H%: -10%
/ Puell Multiple -Miner's revenue is in a moderate range, compared to its one-year average. Moderate revenue Last Value: 0.5305056 24H%: -2%
ON-CHAIN: + aSOPR - More investors are selling at a loss. In the middle of a bear market, it can indicate a market bottom. Realizing loss Last Value: 0.99056737 24H%: -1%
+ Binary CDD - Long term holders' movement in the last 7days were lower than the average. They have a motive to hold their coins Low long-term holders' movement Last Value: 0.28571428 24H%: +100%
- Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) -Investors are in a Capitulation phase where they are currently facing unrealized losses. It indicates the decreasing motive to realize loss which leads to a decrease in sell pressure. Captulation Last Value: -0.05740991 24H%: -35%
- Transfer Volume - The total number of coins transferred has decreased by -36.00% compared to yesterday.
TURNED POSITIVE + + Active Addresses - The total number of active wallets used to send and receive coins has increased by 19.00% compared to yesterday.
TURNED POSITIVE + + Transactions - The total number of transactions has increased by 24.00% compared to yesterday.
INVESTOR SENTIMENT
TURNED POSITIVE + + Coinbase Premium - US investors' buying pressure is relatively strong in Coinbase.
- Korea Premium -Korean retail investors' buying pressure is relatively strong.
- Fund Premium - Investors in funds and trusts including Grayscale have relatively weak buying sentiment.
DERIVATIVES - Funding Rate - Short position traders are dominant and are willing to pay long traders. Last Value: -0.00450709 24H%: +101%
+ Taker Buy Sell Ratio - Buying sentiment is dominent in the derivatives market. More buy orders are filled by takers. Buy: 0.53551546 Sell: 0.46448454
/ Open Interest - As OI increases, it indicates more liquidity, volatility , and attention are coming into the derivative market. The increasing trend in OI could support the current ongoing price trend Last Value: 8,591,474,245.29 24H%: 0% 7D%: +1%
+ Liquidation - 19857239.24of short positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours. Long: 3,734,557.07 Short: 19,857,239.24
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