BitcoinLong
"The Liquidity Heist"
Alright, let’s break this down because what we’re seeing here is no ordinary chart—this is the battleground where smart money and retail traders collide, and the story it’s telling is absolutely fascinating.
First, look at the Pi Cycle Moving Average. This isn’t just any moving average—it’s a dynamic gauge of momentum, and right now, it’s sloping downward. Bears might think they’re in control, but here’s the catch: this MA has been tested repeatedly, and when it flips, it has the potential to spark a significant trend reversal. So, it’s not just a line—it’s the pulse of the market.
Now, the Smart Money True Value Line. This green line isn’t some random support. This is where the big players, the whales, the institutions—whatever you want to call them—step in. It’s their hunting ground. When price hovers near this zone, it’s not just a coincidence. It’s where the market pauses, recalibrates, and potentially rebounds. Smart money doesn’t play the same game as retail—they’re the architects of these moves.
And what about the VWAP? The 1-Day VWAP is sitting above the current price. What does that mean? It means the market is undervalued compared to where volume-weighted price action expects it to be. It’s like gravity pulling the price upward, creating the perfect setup for a mean reversion.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting—the squeeze. See those yellow "+" symbols at the bottom? That’s a volatility squeeze, my friend. The market’s tightening, pressure’s building, and this is where breakouts are born. It’s like a coiled spring just waiting to release its energy. And considering all the factors on this chart, that energy seems primed for an upward explosion.
But let’s talk about the manipulation, shall we? Look at that $95,631 level—the stop-loss zone for short positions. This is where retail traders were baited into a trap. Whales engineered this move to trigger stop losses, creating a cascade of selling below that level. And what did they do? They quietly scooped up liquidity, leaving retail traders scrambling while they prepared for the next big move. This isn’t speculation—it’s how the game is played.
And those ATR Shark Fins? These are the finishing touch. Every time you see these fins at the bottom of the trend, they’re screaming, ‘Pullback incoming!’ It’s like the market’s way of saying it’s overextended, exhausted, and ready for a reversal. And here they are again, flashing at us like a signal in the dark.
So, what’s the verdict? While the bullish arrow is gone, the pieces are still in place. The Smart Money True Value Line, the squeeze, and the manipulation beneath $95,631 all point to one thing: an upward move is brewing. But—and here’s the kicker—we need confirmation. The market loves to keep us guessing, so until we see price action reclaim critical levels, we stay sharp, we stay ready, and we don’t jump the gun.
This chart isn’t just data; it’s a story of psychology, manipulation, and opportunity. The question is—are you paying attention?
When going long, it's crucial to recognize that upward price movements are likely to face a reversal. This is due to USDT.D manipulation, as seen on the weekly timeframe. I've detailed this setup in my idea titled 'The Institutional Ambush,' which highlights how these patterns are orchestrated by institutional forces. Always trade with caution and awareness of the bigger picture.
First, look at the Pi Cycle Moving Average. This isn’t just any moving average—it’s a dynamic gauge of momentum, and right now, it’s sloping downward. Bears might think they’re in control, but here’s the catch: this MA has been tested repeatedly, and when it flips, it has the potential to spark a significant trend reversal. So, it’s not just a line—it’s the pulse of the market.
Now, the Smart Money True Value Line. This green line isn’t some random support. This is where the big players, the whales, the institutions—whatever you want to call them—step in. It’s their hunting ground. When price hovers near this zone, it’s not just a coincidence. It’s where the market pauses, recalibrates, and potentially rebounds. Smart money doesn’t play the same game as retail—they’re the architects of these moves.
And what about the VWAP? The 1-Day VWAP is sitting above the current price. What does that mean? It means the market is undervalued compared to where volume-weighted price action expects it to be. It’s like gravity pulling the price upward, creating the perfect setup for a mean reversion.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting—the squeeze. See those yellow "+" symbols at the bottom? That’s a volatility squeeze, my friend. The market’s tightening, pressure’s building, and this is where breakouts are born. It’s like a coiled spring just waiting to release its energy. And considering all the factors on this chart, that energy seems primed for an upward explosion.
But let’s talk about the manipulation, shall we? Look at that $95,631 level—the stop-loss zone for short positions. This is where retail traders were baited into a trap. Whales engineered this move to trigger stop losses, creating a cascade of selling below that level. And what did they do? They quietly scooped up liquidity, leaving retail traders scrambling while they prepared for the next big move. This isn’t speculation—it’s how the game is played.
And those ATR Shark Fins? These are the finishing touch. Every time you see these fins at the bottom of the trend, they’re screaming, ‘Pullback incoming!’ It’s like the market’s way of saying it’s overextended, exhausted, and ready for a reversal. And here they are again, flashing at us like a signal in the dark.
So, what’s the verdict? While the bullish arrow is gone, the pieces are still in place. The Smart Money True Value Line, the squeeze, and the manipulation beneath $95,631 all point to one thing: an upward move is brewing. But—and here’s the kicker—we need confirmation. The market loves to keep us guessing, so until we see price action reclaim critical levels, we stay sharp, we stay ready, and we don’t jump the gun.
This chart isn’t just data; it’s a story of psychology, manipulation, and opportunity. The question is—are you paying attention?
When going long, it's crucial to recognize that upward price movements are likely to face a reversal. This is due to USDT.D manipulation, as seen on the weekly timeframe. I've detailed this setup in my idea titled 'The Institutional Ambush,' which highlights how these patterns are orchestrated by institutional forces. Always trade with caution and awareness of the bigger picture.
Note
Traders: The yellow squeeze has shifted to blue, signaling the beginning of an uptrend. Now, let’s give it some time to develop.Note
Traders, it's important to understand that creating a bullish idea doesn’t mean I’m disregarding the weekly USDT.D manipulation that I’ve discussed before. The manipulation remains a critical factor, suggesting that even if Bitcoin experiences a bullish move upward, there’s a strong possibility it could reverse back down.
Now, let’s address the misconception of an all-bearish down spike. Markets rarely move in a straight line, whether bullish or bearish. Trends are a balance of upward and downward movements, with pullbacks and corrections being natural parts of the process. A healthy trend—even within a manipulated market—will exhibit some level of equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Extreme spikes without retracements are uncommon and typically short-lived, often the result of sudden manipulation or liquidity events.
So, while bullish setups can play out, the bigger picture tells us to remain cautious. A strong uptrend may still face resistance or reversal due to the broader forces at play, including the weekly USDT.D influence."
Note
Traders: This manipulation won’t last forever— there will be a temporary pause. That’s why I’ve created a new idea. Bitcoin’s liquidity levels are saturated, and as it begins to move upward soon (as outlined in the comments of this idea), it’s crucial to read them carefully. They detail the potential for a bearish reversal following the upward move.
Remember: no entries until confirmation. I have believed this will turn out to be a bear trap. Prices will make their way upwards soon.
Note
That's a textbook bear trap—nearly a 2% drop, and with all five downtrend daily candlesticks fully retraced. Note
Don’t panic—this situation is temporary. Since I started trading, I’ve never seen such a sharp and persistent downward movement without eventual recovery. It’s unlikely to continue indefinitely because dark pools and similar manipulative forces have their limits.
If this downtrend were to persist, automated trading algorithms (bots) would likely intervene to stabilize the market. These bots are designed to capitalize on price inefficiencies, which would naturally lead to an upward correction.
We’re in the final stages of this phase, and something significant is about to happen. Why?
• Bull run delays: Major upward trends have been consistently delayed, likely due to strategic accumulation or market manipulation.
• Whale activity: Large players (whales) are deliberately suppressing momentum, which leads to also a liquidity bull run.
When the turning point arrives, it’s expected to be a decisive and dramatic move upward, followed by a natural price correction.
Note
“Next target for a long position is $96,226. Once that fills, I’ll move to the next—step by step. I’ll shift focus to a longer-term target once the trend shows clear signs of stabilization.”Note
Strap in tight—the bull that’s about to charge is packing 4 shots of espresso: This move is going to be nothing short of explosive!Note
To the TradingView Bank of the West—this is a stick-up! Empty those profits into my bag, and nobody gets margin called. Don’t make me hit the ‘market order’ button!
Note
Bitcoin is at a key entry point, while altcoins are off the table for now. The next target will be $97,975 A more significant long position entry is being refined, with ATR as a critical reinforcement. It's in progress and nearly ready.
$97,975 will get filled because it's a calculated Fibonacci mathematic calculation
Note
Don’t let trend rejections shake your confidence—it’s far too early to assume Bitcoin will reverse downward. Such a scenario is highly unlikely. Bitcoin is currently on a liquidity sweep, and it's time to align with the whales. However, whale activity is still minimal, likely around 5%. Their full involvement—and the subsequent price pump—is still ahead.
Why the delay? It’s all part of a smart money strategy. They've been methodically setting up traps for retail traders. When the price moves up but then sharply declines, it’s because it hit one of these trap zones. The rejection occurs, but the price quickly recovers and continues upward. That’s exactly what we’re seeing unfold right now: a calculated setup designed to shake out weaker hands before the next big move.
Note
“No need to panic—on the 15-minute timeframe, USDT.D is showing a classic pump-and-dump pattern, and it’s about to dump into negative volume territory. This shift is likely to trigger an upward move in crypto prices.
This is a deliberate strategy orchestrated by the big players, manipulating liquidity and market sentiment. As traders, we need to stay vigilant and prepared to adapt during these critical market battles.”
Note
A trader recently asked me a great question, and I’m truly grateful for it because it brought something important to my attention. Let me share the question and my response with you.
First, why did I respond in this manner down below— A trader asked me about my long position while nearly everyone else seems to be shorting Bitcoin. I had an idea that many traders were leaning toward shorts, but I didn’t realize the full extent of it until now. As you read my response, I want to make it clear that my position is based on expecting a temporary bull run, not a long-term trend.
I still anticipate a reversal to the downside after this move. Bitcoin’s price has been heavily manipulated, and as I’ve said before, this manipulation could last for months. The market isn’t about constant down spikes or up spikes—it eventually finds a balance, and that’s what I’m focusing on in my strategy.
Here’s my response—
My strategy has always been to stand apart from the herd, and this situation only reinforces my confidence. I didn’t realize how many traders were piling into short positions, but now that I know, I’m even more excited. Here’s why:
Smart money—the big institutional players and whales—never follow the herd. Instead, they exploit the herd’s predictable behavior. When the majority of traders are in shorts, smart money sees an opportunity to push the price higher, targeting those shorts for liquidation and profiting from the forced buying that follows.
The herd tends to act emotionally, jumping on trends without deeper analysis. This creates predictable pockets of liquidity that smart money uses to its advantage. In this case, the large number of leveraged short positions is like a big red target for smart money.
Since my idea is going long, I’m confident I’m on the right side of the trade. By positioning myself against the herd, I’m aligning with how smart money typically operates—going against the majority. It’s not about guessing; it’s about understanding that the herd creates the opportunity, and smart money takes advantage of it.
So, if the herd is short, and I’m long, I have every reason to believe my idea will get filled. Smart money doesn’t move with the herd; they profit by going against it. This is why I stand firm in my contrarian approach—it has always kept me one step ahead.
"You hear the wind, but where does it go?"
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