At the moment, we're still trading within the symmetrical triangle, but because the lunar new year is still too far away it's hard to see how a rally could start. There're three possible scenarios:
s1: BTC goes kaput from now. This will be very bearish, as we're not even at the apex yet. A drop of 4.5k can be expected ---> target will be 5.4k.
s2: We go to the apex and BTC goes kaput. the long-term trend line could provide strong support. $8 will be the target.
s3: BTC doesn't break down & stays between 11k & 13k until mid-Feb.
btw, if you believe the H&S must be completed, the target will be 5.4k (as the neckline is at 0.5x). I'm starting to think it's really going to 5k. Never felt so real before (even though I wrote it a couple of times).
Comment
BTW, I think s2 more likely. 5.4k will be disastrous
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