Hi traders!
We can see that Bitcoin begins to play out Wyckoff's accumulation schematic number 2 on the 4h timeframe. This is promising for bulls, however we need to be patient as price chops around.
What is happening?
BTC formed a H&S pattern and then declined in a falling wedge. We can easily identify a target by measuring both the H&S and the wedge.
Where do we go from here?
We get confluence for a long in the area that I have marked with a green box. This is also the potential end of wave 5 which started at 40900. Yes, wave 1 retraced 88%, which is rare but the Elliott rules specifically allow for such a retrace, so that we can identify the current wave as a 1-5 motive wave.
38200-ish can be a potential target, since a regular ABC correction extends beyond wave 4.
What if not?
The idea is invalidated if price falls below the green box. In that case the current wave 5 may extend to 31143 to form a double bottom.
Happy trading.