BitcoinLong
BTC/USD Weekly Chart Analysis: Potential Price Scenarios in 2025
Overview:
Bitcoin has displayed remarkable strength in the past few months, approaching critical levels in its long-term ascending channel. The current price action reflects bullish momentum, but there are key levels to watch for potential corrections or continuations. Here’s my detailed analysis based on this weekly chart.
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel:
BTC is trading near the upper boundary of a well-established ascending channel, which has historically acted as resistance.
If this boundary is broken with strong volume, the next potential target lies around $116,000.
Structure Levels:
A Weak High at $102,000 indicates the possibility of a short-term pullback before testing the resistance zone.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals confirm bullish dominance, but corrections are part of healthy price action.
Moving Averages:
The 50-week and 100-week moving averages continue to slope upward, with price trading well above these levels, signaling a strong bullish trend.
Any retracement could find support at the 50-week MA or the mid-range of the channel.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance: $102,000–$116,000.
Support: $76,000 (Golden Pocket) and $64,000.
Indicators:
RSI is currently overbought at 75, indicating the potential for a cooling-off phase.
MACD shows bullish momentum but hints at overextension as the histogram peaks.
Projected Scenario:
Scenario 1: BTC tests the Weak High at $102,000, faces rejection, and consolidates near the mid-range before attempting to break higher.
Scenario 2: BTC breaks out of the ascending channel, initiating a parabolic move toward $116,000.
Potential Risks:
A failure to hold support at $76,000 could lead to a deeper correction, testing key structural levels like $64,000 and $42,000.
Macro factors such as interest rate decisions or global economic uncertainties could heavily impact sentiment.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is in a strong bull market phase, but caution is warranted near the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor key levels and volume for confirmation of breakout or rejection. A pullback to the mid-range could provide an excellent buying opportunity for long-term holders.
Would love to hear your thoughts—do you expect a breakout or a correction? Let me know in the comments below!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
Bitcoin has displayed remarkable strength in the past few months, approaching critical levels in its long-term ascending channel. The current price action reflects bullish momentum, but there are key levels to watch for potential corrections or continuations. Here’s my detailed analysis based on this weekly chart.
Key Observations:
Ascending Channel:
BTC is trading near the upper boundary of a well-established ascending channel, which has historically acted as resistance.
If this boundary is broken with strong volume, the next potential target lies around $116,000.
Structure Levels:
A Weak High at $102,000 indicates the possibility of a short-term pullback before testing the resistance zone.
Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) signals confirm bullish dominance, but corrections are part of healthy price action.
Moving Averages:
The 50-week and 100-week moving averages continue to slope upward, with price trading well above these levels, signaling a strong bullish trend.
Any retracement could find support at the 50-week MA or the mid-range of the channel.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Resistance: $102,000–$116,000.
Support: $76,000 (Golden Pocket) and $64,000.
Indicators:
RSI is currently overbought at 75, indicating the potential for a cooling-off phase.
MACD shows bullish momentum but hints at overextension as the histogram peaks.
Projected Scenario:
Scenario 1: BTC tests the Weak High at $102,000, faces rejection, and consolidates near the mid-range before attempting to break higher.
Scenario 2: BTC breaks out of the ascending channel, initiating a parabolic move toward $116,000.
Potential Risks:
A failure to hold support at $76,000 could lead to a deeper correction, testing key structural levels like $64,000 and $42,000.
Macro factors such as interest rate decisions or global economic uncertainties could heavily impact sentiment.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin is in a strong bull market phase, but caution is warranted near the upper boundary of the channel. Traders should monitor key levels and volume for confirmation of breakout or rejection. A pullback to the mid-range could provide an excellent buying opportunity for long-term holders.
Would love to hear your thoughts—do you expect a breakout or a correction? Let me know in the comments below!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer
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