As you see, Cycle 3 (orange trend-line) did diverge again from Cycle 2 (green trend-line) and priced its top considerably lower, which is in line with the Theory of Diminishing returns. However an update had to be made on this in order to more accurately display and project the (future) tops. Notice that this is a Halving centered approach. Every Cycle is measured before and after its respective Halving. E.g. Cycle 1 (blue trend-line) starts from the start of the data set and ends on Halving 2, i.e. displaying the price action centered around Halving 1. for comparison purposes, I've centered all on Halving 3 (the most recent one). You can find a more detailed explanation on the methodology on the previous issue of this model (chart above).
** Projecting Cycle Tops and Bottoms **
** Projecting Cycle Tops and Bottoms **
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.