Yeah, this chart probably looks pretty insane, maybe just stoopid, but I think it's important to plan for the worst. Why? Because I'm not intelligent enough to know what's going on even most of the time, let alone all the time. It's our money, plans and dreams we're playing with so you should understand what people mean when they say Bitcoin is a bubble.
Basically every time you heard about Bitcoin in the media doing crazy things, we were at the top of a Bubble. Just like in Dec 2013, when I bought my first Bitcoin ahhh. Then the bubble burst and I walk away not understanding. Thinking that was fun but also a bit pissed that I didn't get lambo riched from it. Not ever realising what an amazing opportunity I was passing up. As it happened there were other opportunities. Bitcoin dropped in price and then shot up in 2017. Wow another bubble!
Now I give up thinking that the price will definitely correct after 1 or 2 months (lol what a stoopid guy, it's so gonna correct).
I have to consider that we really are at the top of a bubble. Not really so stoopid when you think about it, because really you are just me coming to crypto in 2013 right when the bubble bursts (just don't walk away this time budd). So the chart, ya. You see the first two bubbles look very similar (of course they doo stoopid, the universe is fractal). Well, I think now we are at the bottom of one of those big dips that come after the initial crash (shit I used that word, well I already said bubble like 1000 times anyway). We're going to go up into a massive bulltrap (no, this is the real bull trap guys). Well this might be, then again it might not be. May be we race to the moon muchacho what do you think ;)
I think it's better to be prepared for the (second) worst case, which is what I present here. If your bag holding hold then sell at the top of the bull trap. I'm going to ride it up to the top too. I think (hope) about 16000.
Sell. Get out. Learn about crypto, trading and how you can take advantage of all the amazing swing trading opportunities coming this year.
Basically every time you heard about Bitcoin in the media doing crazy things, we were at the top of a Bubble. Just like in Dec 2013, when I bought my first Bitcoin ahhh. Then the bubble burst and I walk away not understanding. Thinking that was fun but also a bit pissed that I didn't get lambo riched from it. Not ever realising what an amazing opportunity I was passing up. As it happened there were other opportunities. Bitcoin dropped in price and then shot up in 2017. Wow another bubble!
Now I give up thinking that the price will definitely correct after 1 or 2 months (lol what a stoopid guy, it's so gonna correct).
I have to consider that we really are at the top of a bubble. Not really so stoopid when you think about it, because really you are just me coming to crypto in 2013 right when the bubble bursts (just don't walk away this time budd). So the chart, ya. You see the first two bubbles look very similar (of course they doo stoopid, the universe is fractal). Well, I think now we are at the bottom of one of those big dips that come after the initial crash (shit I used that word, well I already said bubble like 1000 times anyway). We're going to go up into a massive bulltrap (no, this is the real bull trap guys). Well this might be, then again it might not be. May be we race to the moon muchacho what do you think ;)
I think it's better to be prepared for the (second) worst case, which is what I present here. If your bag holding hold then sell at the top of the bull trap. I'm going to ride it up to the top too. I think (hope) about 16000.
Sell. Get out. Learn about crypto, trading and how you can take advantage of all the amazing swing trading opportunities coming this year.
Note
This is the setup for this scenario.Note
Note
Note
My guess we are going to meet the 50 MA by moving up. This could take us to about 13.8k - 14k. Then there'll be a brief spike up to 16k and crash down to the mean (50). Just look at Dec 2013 above.Note
Price is being contained between 10.8k and 12k. With continuation of ascending higher lows this bodes well for a breakout. Patience is required, in 2013 we spent a week in this well, we might spend longer down here this time.Note
Bitcoin looks like it finally broke support. This is what the 8kers have been waiting for. It will have to get past support at 9k first, but we may well join the purple trend line at 8.7. Let's hope for a good bounce wherever it lands.Note
Well 8kers didn't get their fill yet. We still have good support. I'm still on for the climb up, but we may in deed have another drop down first. I'v seen a convincing argument of 7k
and
some "top traders" also comparing against gold (which is such a close analog to BTC at least technically), look here
Just need patience.
Note
Another reason I'm starting to suspect a dip in BTC, before a sharp rise is the correlation between significant BTC dips and BCHBTC touching major support lines. Note
It hit square on the trendline. Not convinced this is the bottom. I'm going to give it at least till tomorrow. Bulls look weak, don't think bears have given up yet.
Note
2018 will be Wave 4 on our journey. Wave 2 was long and flat, so this leg should be steeper and quicker. 4k excessive, but 5 - 6k is very possible imo.Note
Looks like we are definitely going down. OK, correction will be more dramatic. We always want the best but must prepare for the worst. I think this will be the first of a two stage ATH pattern a la 2013. Guys careful with those longs. We need to find support and what is support? Old resistance. That means probably the resistance from the previous trading channel from 2016. For us this places a bottom at around 4000 to 5000 USD.Note
BTC 0.786 correction 
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.