Market Outlook Scenarios
1. Delayed Correction: Despite near-term volatility, markets reach new all-time highs before experiencing a significant correction. Bear market conditions likely emerge late 2025 or early 2026.
2. Imminent Downturn: Current downward momentum continues, approaching bear market territory (-20%). At that point, we'll need to reassess based on:
3. Accelerated Bear Market: Markets rapidly decline from current levels, driven by:
Remember: it's never a straight line up or down
1. Delayed Correction: Despite near-term volatility, markets reach new all-time highs before experiencing a significant correction. Bear market conditions likely emerge late 2025 or early 2026.
2. Imminent Downturn: Current downward momentum continues, approaching bear market territory (-20%). At that point, we'll need to reassess based on:
- Earnings reports from major companies
- Forward guidance quality
- Potential for either a sustained recovery or further deterioration
3. Accelerated Bear Market: Markets rapidly decline from current levels, driven by:
- Economic uncertainty intensifying
- Misalignment between AI technology expectations and actual business outcomes
- Significant revaluation of growth assets
Remember: it's never a straight line up or down
Dad, trader, technologist, cyclist, and a modern stoic who loves dachshunds, espresso and landscape photography in no particular order.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Dad, trader, technologist, cyclist, and a modern stoic who loves dachshunds, espresso and landscape photography in no particular order.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.