1. Halving Cycle Structure
This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns.
Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles
1. Halving Cycle Structure
Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into:
Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth.
Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery.
Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods.
2. Historical Price Performance
Cycle 1 (2012 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 11644%
Pre-Halving having: +390%
Post halving +2947%
96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Cycle 2 (2016 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 2503%
Pre Halving: +213%
Post halving +703%
91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving
Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going...
Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths
Pre Halving: +234% so far
Post halving +92% so far
If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price.
3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions
Bull Market (2024–2027):
Projected move: 905K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds.
Bear Market (2027–2028):
Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation
Resistance Zones:
$250K, $500K, and $905K projected peaks based on logarithmic trends.
Trade safe
Tarder Leo
This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns.
Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles
1. Halving Cycle Structure
Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into:
Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth.
Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery.
Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods.
2. Historical Price Performance
Cycle 1 (2012 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 11644%
Pre-Halving having: +390%
Post halving +2947%
96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Cycle 2 (2016 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 2503%
Pre Halving: +213%
Post halving +703%
91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving
Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going...
Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths
Pre Halving: +234% so far
Post halving +92% so far
If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price.
3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions
Bull Market (2024–2027):
Projected move: 905K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds.
Bear Market (2027–2028):
Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation
Resistance Zones:
$250K, $500K, and $905K projected peaks based on logarithmic trends.
Trade safe
Tarder Leo
Note
There was a mistake I made. It's corrected with the projected target. It's not 905k. The correct projected target is 270k. I published the proper chart. 
For more information: t.me/BeatTMarket
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
For more information: t.me/BeatTMarket
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.