Hello, my friends. It's Cryptoranger K.
The bit chart is not very pretty right now. It's not so easy to analyze because of the sharp rise called Jinping Beam after the sharp fall. So I thought I should focus on the flow of the MA lines, not the movement of the candle.
The candle was made this week, creating a 5 & 10 day line of intersection on a 1-week chart. The definition of what this intersection looks like is called Golden Cross, but the problem is that the current price is below the intersection. Generally speaking, the Golden Cross should serve as a support for the price, but this crossing is likely to remain a resistance. The weekly Stochastic made the Golden Cross, so you might think of a rebound. However, as I mentioned in the previous post, considering that the 1-week MACD and 2-week Stochastic flows are still declining, I expect the current price flow to move sideways in the box, rather than rising.
I still think Bitcoin will fall to $ 6500. Of course I'm also considering the possibility that the price won't drop to $ 6500, but I basically think of $ 6500 as the bottom. More precisely, what I'm waiting for is not the bottom, but the 'reduction in price volatility'. Volatility diminishes, waiting for the moment when the 20 and 5 and 10 day lines intersect.