BTC outlook for next four months

Updated
The self-fulfilling prophecy of a post-halving dump combined with a three year old pennant structure is keeping us in an increasingly small range, meaning we should be relatively neutral on BTC, in the medium term only.

  • Short term a grind back to 6k pennant+200MA support is highly probable.
  • Medium term a move back up to 8.2k resistance.
  • Long term the journey to $1 million in 2026 continues.


CME Futures Gaps
Like it or not, self-fulfilling prophecy or not, CME Futures gaps always fill eventually. With gaps at $3580, $9500 & $11000, that would mean a quick collapse spike down to sub 3.5k (don't say this is impossible - we literally just went sub-4K a few weeks ago and the biggest global recession in centuries is just warming up). After that I'm very confident BTC will sweep past $9.5 in the coming months and 11k will obviously fill when we finally make the push to a new ATH. I have the expectation we will move sideways for longer than expected before true upward momentum begins in 2021.

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Note
RSI + Stochastic RSI Indicator Combined
Note
EMA 21/55/89/200 & SMA 50/100/200
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