Bitcoin
Long

BTC: neutral case analysis

107
BTCUSD

Hello

Based on last 3 bull cycles and bear cycles, I did some calculations and this pattern is the result of it.
Take it with a pinch of salt, this might not even be close, but just past data gives me this fractal.

Here are the peak Bitcoin (BTC) prices for the years you mentioned:

2013: $1,156
2017: $19,497
2021: $67,566

We can now treat these as the values of the quadratic function:
a=1156 (for year 2013)
b=19497 (for year 2017)
c=67566 (for year 2021)

However, to apply the formula:

Pine Script®
Price(x) = a⋅x2 + b⋅x + c


Using a quadratic fit to the BTC peak prices in 2013, 2017, and 2021, we get the following estimated prices:

2017: $19,497 (matches actual)
2021: $67,566 (matches actual)
2025: $145,363

Above is the AI calculation, I think it is about right.

Happy trading
Cheers

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