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BTCUSD: 200 EMA SYSTEM - Potential Buy Setup

200 EMA SYSTEM:
- The 200 EMA SYSTEM is very simple and easy to follow.
- It's very appealing with the potential to bring you hundreds of ticks a month.
- Trades with the trend and effectively buys low and sells high.
- Helps identify the main trend - whether the market is going up or down.

Why 200 EMA? Why not use other EMA's like 100 EMA, or 50 EMA or 20 EMA or 10 EMA?
- Because 200 EMA is one very popular indicator used by lots of traders.

Here’s what you need to know about the 200 EMA:
- When price is above the 200 EMA, that’s an uptrend.
- When price is below the 200 EMA, that’s a downtrend

How it works:
- The 200 EMA SYSTEM is a multi-timeframe strategy.
- It uses the Daily chart, the 4H chart, and the 1H chart.
- First, after placing the 200 EMA on your Daily chart, see if it’s an uptrend or a downtrend.
- The Daily chart determines the main trend.
- Next, switch to the 4H chart and see where the 200 EMA is relative to price.
- Is it in the same trend as the Daily chart?
- If so, switch to the 1H chart and check if the 1H chart is in the same trend as the Daily and the 4H charts.
- Your trade entries are executed when the trend in the 1H chart is the same as the 4H and the Daily charts.
- “Buy the dips” and “Sell the rallies” in the 1H timeframe.

Here's how to do it:
Step 1: Check the Daily timeframe: Is the trend up or down?
Step 2: Check the 4H timeframe: is the trend the same as in the Daily chart?
Step 3: Check the 1H timeframe: is the trend the same as in the 4H and Daily chart?
Step 4: Wait for price to come to the 200 EMA and trade the bounce of price on the 200 EMA line.

How to trade the bounce on the 200 EMA line:
- The best way is to use price action by the use of reversal candlesticks.
- Once you get confirmation with a bullish reversal candlestick (for an uptrend trade, place a buy stop order 3-5 ticks above the high of that bullish reversal candlestick.
- Or once you get confirmation with a bearish reversal candlestick, place a sell stop order 3-5 ticks below the low of the reversal candlestick (if this is a downtrend and you are selling short).
- Your stop loss should be placed at a minimum 10-15 ticks outside of the 200 EMA line.
- Use the previous swing high or swing low on the 1H chart as your profit target.

Managing your trade when profitable:
- Use the trailing stop technique: move your stop loss and behind each subsequent swing lows or high as your trade moves in your favor so that you continue to lock in your profit as price travels towards your take profit target level.

Some issues with the 200 EMA strategy:
- What happens if the 1H trend is different from the 4H and the Daily timeframes? Wait until the 1H trend is the same as the 4H and the Daily and then trade the bounce off the 200 EMA.
- What happens if the 4H and the 1H trend are the same and the Daily is different? Same answer as above: Every timeframe has to match and have the same trend. If one timeframe is different, you wait until all are the same trend.

Daily:

4H:

1H:

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BTC 200 EMA SYSTEM - 1 minute perspective.
- Counting down until the next candle. 30 seconds to TD Sell Setup.
- 1 hour until we hope to see the development of a bullish candlestick reversal signal we can use to enter a new long.

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- Pullback to 1H EMA 200 would be into the 61.80% retracement of the up wave; a perfect place for the next bullish attempt.

- Nison 'Trading the 9' EMA strategy has had the 9/20 EMA golden cross. A bounce on the 200 EMA would make the 9/50 golden cross. That would be an entry on yet another Nison strategy.

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If this succeeds to the bullish side it would be a bullish candlestick reversal within yet another Nison strategy buy zone: PB&J (Pullback into Sweetspot), on the 1D chart.

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1H TT9 Strategy 9/20/50 golden cross.
I've gone long.

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How it looks on the 1m chart:

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1H:

1D:

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If the 1D candle close is >= 1/2 into the real body, it will either be a Hammer, Piercing Pattern, or Bullish Engulfing Pattern then there will be solid technical support at the low of the pattern. It will be a bullish reversal allowing for higher prices. My question is whether 1H EMA 200 will be retested or not. Here are the Nison facts:

1D: In Sweet Spot buy zone.
1D: Price > EMA 200.
1D: Potential close as bullish reversal with support at low of pattern. This would be a PB&J strategy long signal.

4H: 'Trading the 9' EMA strategy long signal created by successful golden cross of EMA 9/20/50.
4H: Price > EMA 200.

1H: Price > EMA 200 > 4H EMA 200 > 1D EMA 200
1H: If price pulls back into EMA 200 and closes as a bullish reversal candlestick pattern, a 200 EMA SYSTEM strategy long signal will be generated.

The point about all of this is regarding entry and stop loss.
1D PB&J strategy would have SL below the low of the pattern.
4H TT9 strategy would have a possible exit on a forceful bearish reversal below 9 EMA.
D/4H/1H 200 EMA System strategy would have SL 10-15 ticks below EMA 200.

So I guess let's see where the Daily closes! 😊

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Be warned that Binance is closing the market at 2 AM UTC+1 for approximately 1 hour. This is the exact worst period that this can happen for us. Wonderful.

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55 EMA System

Trading Rules:
- Wait for price to break the 55 EMA to the upside or downside.
- The candlestick that breaks the 55 EMA either upwards or downwards is your entry candlestick.
Place your buy stop order or sell stop order using this entry candlestick anywhere from 3-5 ticks above the low or high of the entry candlestick.
- Your stop loss should be placed anywhere from 5-30 ticks above the high or low of the entry candlestick.
- Take profit and exit your trade.

How to manage a trade / exit a trade:
There are a few options which you can use to manage a profitable trade:
- Move stop loss to breakeven when price moves by the amount you risked. Sometimes you may get stopped out easily with this option.
- Or you can wait until price forms those peaks and valleys of price swings to move stop loss to lock in more profits as price moves favorably.

Advantages of the 55 EMA System:
- Easy to understand and implement
- In a good trending market, it can give you a lot of profitable ticks easily.

Disadvantages of the 55 EMA System:
- Moving Averages are lagging indicators which essentially means that price moves ahead and the EMA indicator responds to this price move late.
- This system will not work so well in a non trending market.

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Daily:

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1H PB&J:

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NISON: 'TRAILING STOP' STRATEGY [SMA 3/12]
LET YOUR PROFITS RUN.

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Pivots T1: $54,100
Pivots T2: $57,600

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BTCUSD 1H closed as a Bullish Engulfing Pattern. That's a long entry with SL under 50,300.

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Daily CCI.

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I expect R3 to be hit by date.

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I'm expecting a retracement to the 50% - 61.8% Fibonacci level. Sold and waiting for a new entry signal.

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Bearish divergence on 4H MACD Histogram.

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Nison "20 SMA with RSI(5)" strategy would generate a long signal under the following conditions:

1) Price touches SMA 20.
2) RSI(5) breaches 50 level.
3) RSI bounce off of 50 with bullish candlestick reversal signal.

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Hourly:
Doji, DeMark Sell Setup, 2X Dark Cloud Cover, declining MACD and +DI.

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Nison 4H Strategy: 20 SMA with RSI(5)

4H:
- if price crosses SMA 20
- and if RSI(5) crosses 50
- and if RSI comes above 50 with a bullish-type candlestick reversal formation
then long.

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Smart money selling in large volume:

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- 1H closed Morning Star bullish reversal.
- Long position opened.
- Stop Loss below low of pattern at $53,600.
T1: $56,500
T2: $57,000

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Looking at 4H SMA 20 / RSI(5) 50 level.

Trade active

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Higher Highs & Higher Lows above Fib channel with bullish reversals within sweet spot.

Targets:

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