Update from my previous posts following BTC path through this consolidation period:
- the most likely zone that the markov transition states pointed to has been the exact area where this has traded
- BTCUSD now needs to decide on the next state - the yellow shaded rectangle is the most probable where this will trade from here
- has 2 previous resistance trendlines (light red and light green) that it recently broke above and is showing to have support now at those trendlines, so this next anticipated zone makes a lot of sense
In my initial post covering this stochastic phenomenon I layed out the premise that as n-parallel boundaries increase from base, the probability of breakout or breakdown increases. BTCUSD has positioned itself slightly in favor of breakout - has yet to commit to either.
Regards,
The Wonderful Wizard [of OZ]