Education

#bitcoin bull intact? "To the Moon" update.

Updated

Green MACD Histogram got off to a start with a peak in VOLUME OSCILLATOR (Volume Oscillator not to LOG but Histogram Format with pink horizontal line added in to highlight zero) previous study needs to be set aside. Have included all such set-ups back to 2013. Have also included some RAYS of closing prices which I'm interested in keeping watch on from another study I've done but not published, as I think it's too subjective.

Had to decided whether trend line should be drawn from the joining up of the last two fractal lows in which case trend line has been broken or wait for a fractal high followed by a fractal low to form the trend line. I have chosen the latter. After forming fractal low price could travel sideways a bit so may have to adjust the trend line with any sideways movement etc.

Note

As per the above. Need set aside previous post which was based on a different scenario. Looks Green run MACD Histogram starting off with peak in VOLUME OSCILLATOR. Not many since 2013. Looks potential positive. Care though: next day never made new lower low. Also see below - a lot more volatility in making the low of 2nd October 2016

Note

Note that peak in VOLUME OSCILLATOR has moved to 9th November. It followed market down. A fractal high has also now been confirmed. Notes on chart have been updated

Note

Up until now all bitcoin industry insiders and media stars have been able to boast OK bitcoin is down but look its still up. Now its different. If bitcoin does not hold above c.$5,400 and start rising that argument will be dead in the water. See chart below.

Note

#bitcoin nice touchdown based on trend lines maybe. Could it go lower or continue to trade sideways. Sure it could but right now looks like its hit a sweet spot on the weekly. See posts above for close up on the daily and why next week could be critical

Note

Copy of latest post
#bitcoin crash year on year performance study 2014 drop 65%
Notes of study on chart
.

Note

Copy of my most recent post
#bitcoin bear case argument but how valid
Using custom MACD (6,12, Close,31) marked first day up in Histogram light blue vertical when <0 and yellow first day down when >0. Work your strategy/opportunity from 1st fractal on or after vertical. I've just used the light blue verticals for my argument here.

Note

Bull and bear watch for this signal if it confirms end of today because market insiders could be signalling time is up big volatility coming - additional notes on chart

Note

My latest update with notes on chart

Note

bitcoin bull and bear whether tothemoon or backtohell here's the big question. Do we need big dump this time to get pump, or, will it be same pump and dump like before. Could it work out different this time. Sure. Just highlighting battle market now facing

Note

Copy of my latest post

#bitcoin rise in ROC not volume key to next BULL RUN maybe

New study with huge implications maybe. Could make or break any future BULL RUN. Default indicator settings multiplied by four for Weekly Chart and by thirty for the Daily.

Note

#bitcoin can't ignore bull break out & upward sloping trend line using consecutive fractal highs flanked by 2 lows based on past performance + evidence maybe of triangle support bullish trend line + bullish breakout yellow box no whipsaw yet. Cautiously bullish

Note

Study of Momentum and ROC (Log Scale) looks like this best match of past two maybe. Cautiously bullish. Looks like just needs momentum to turn positive. See previous comment

Note

#bitcoin this looks bad at least I've never seen price break back out the yellow box one way, then the other, and back all year. Could it. Sure could, but right now bears in control

Note

Copy of my latest post

#bitcoin vs Yuan predicted end 2013-14 bear market maybe.

Can't predict todays outcome but Yuan had same bad month at start of this bear as back in 2013-14. They were first actors in both starts & may be first actors out again at end maybe. Blue verticals correspond to months when both markets red candles. More notes on chart.

Note

#bitcoin decided publish this study only because something different or odd happened in this bitcoin price plunge which not happened before. This the fourth plunge. Maybe last two buoyed too much by ETF hype etc. No signals to help with buy or sell here though

Felix000

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.