BitcoinEducation
Risk-to-Reward > Win Rate
We have mentioned it in a list of our previous educational posts and we will state it again: your risk-reward plan is much more important than your win rate. You can have a 90% win rate and still be losing in the long-run. On the contrary, you only need a 35% win rate to be a consistently profitable trader on the longer term.
Beginners mainly focus on winning as many trades as possible and it is totally understandable, because we have all been there. "The more trades I enter, the more money I will make" principle has destroyed many trading careers. The explanation to the "Why?" question is pretty simple: when we are new to trading, every win gives us euphoria and makes us think we are the rulers of the market. Guess what happens next, the market hits back, puts us in a position where we are stuck in a losing streak, and humbles us enough to quit trading and think it does not work.
As we get more experienced, we lean towards the "Less is more" principle and believe that quality will always be over quantity.
As an instance, we have orchestrated 2 scenarios on the graph.
The example on the upper side of the screen shows how our trader has a 80% win rate but has yet failed to remain in profits due to the fact that he does not have a solid risk management plan.
On the opposite side of the road, we have Trader B who is able to remain in consistent profits by winning only 20% of the executed transactions. All those minor losses that he made got covered by one big win, and as long as he keeps following the current risk management policy and strategy of his, he is sure that he will be consistently profitable in the long run.
Beginners mainly focus on winning as many trades as possible and it is totally understandable, because we have all been there. "The more trades I enter, the more money I will make" principle has destroyed many trading careers. The explanation to the "Why?" question is pretty simple: when we are new to trading, every win gives us euphoria and makes us think we are the rulers of the market. Guess what happens next, the market hits back, puts us in a position where we are stuck in a losing streak, and humbles us enough to quit trading and think it does not work.
As we get more experienced, we lean towards the "Less is more" principle and believe that quality will always be over quantity.
As an instance, we have orchestrated 2 scenarios on the graph.
The example on the upper side of the screen shows how our trader has a 80% win rate but has yet failed to remain in profits due to the fact that he does not have a solid risk management plan.
On the opposite side of the road, we have Trader B who is able to remain in consistent profits by winning only 20% of the executed transactions. All those minor losses that he made got covered by one big win, and as long as he keeps following the current risk management policy and strategy of his, he is sure that he will be consistently profitable in the long run.
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