Bitcoin

To be or not to be, that is the question..... BTC/USD

101
Bitcoin Elliott Wave Projection – 4H Timeframe Analysis

This 4-hour BTC/USD chart applies Elliott Wave Theory to outline a potential bullish continuation scenario, balanced with a corrective alternative. The chart currently identifies a completed 5-wave impulse move from the recent bottom, followed by a likely ABC corrective structure forming.

Key Elements:
• Primary Impulse (Blue Waves 1-5): A five-wave bullish sequence appears to have played out from early April to early May, suggesting the completion of Wave (1) of a larger degree bullish cycle.
• Corrective Wave (ABC in Yellow): After the peak of Wave (5), an ABC correction is expected, retracing into the Fibonacci support zones. Highlighted levels include the 0.382 ($89,958), 0.5 ($87,286), and 0.618 ($84,713) retracement levels.
• Accumulation/Order Block Zones: Two key green demand zones are marked between $86,997 and $75,322, with heavy interest shown in the golden pocket region for potential re-entries (0.618-0.65 zone).
• Bullish Continuation Scenario: After the corrective ABC structure completes, a new five-wave impulsive rally is projected—this would form Wave (3) of a higher-degree cycle, with sub-waves (1)-(5) plotted in blue, potentially pushing BTC toward the $140,000 range.
• Bearish Alternative (Red Arrow): A red arrow suggests the alternate scenario—if price fails to hold the Fibonacci support or green demand zones, a deeper decline could ensue, invalidating the bullish wave count.

Technical Indicators:
• Moving Averages: The chart includes a 50-period EMA (red) and a longer-term MA (white), showing a bullish crossover.
• Order Block Detector (LuxAlgo): Supports the chart’s high-confluence buy zones.

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