I know that the traditional 4y crypto cycle says we are half way tough the bull market, but i dont like how the price is closing below the 21 week ema at the high for the past couple of months. Also the 10y - 2y yield is reinverting from negative to positive after being inverted for like 2 years. Usually when this happens the stock market begins a bear market.
What im trying to say is that the macro for traditional markets is not aligned with the 4y crypto cycle for a bull market. If we are to clear the high we need to do it right away, because if we struggle to do it for a few more months we might run in to a recession. And if the US is in a recession crypto aint going up. Its going down.
I really wouldnt be surprised if in 6 - 8 months BTC is sitting at 30 - 35k. And all these alts are making new cycle lows.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.