Scenario Analysis for Bitcoin. Will it fulfill McAfee's $15K?

I see a definitive possibility of BTC will hit 15K in July as McAfee predicted. I see two scenario based on two strong support lines (BLUE). The red lines are the predicted path within each scenario. These lines are based off a second fib retracement (shown to the right side to avoid clutter).

Scenario 1: Support offered by 7800 holds true. Assumption is that this turns out to be falling wedge reversal and slowly retraces it back is way $14-16K by the end of July.

Scenario 2: Support offered by 6500 holds true.

In both the cases, the decisive factor is how long the price spends in the green rectangle box. Within this I will watch out for the bounce-offs. I tend to root for Scenario 1.

I do not think 6500 will be broken anytime soon. Even if it is the case we have time to get confirmations on them.
Trend Analysis

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