Bitcoin is in the process of developing a bear flag formation and may push higher on smaller time frames but the short term bearish structure is still intact. This means there is a higher probability that price retests the 78 to 80K once more. IF such a scenario presents itself, it may provide an opportunity for a new swing trade long (upon confirmation). IF the 87,500 area minor resistance breaks instead, this would increase the chance that price retests the 90K area resistance.
How you play this is going to depend on the time frames you typically operate within. If you day trade, even though a bear flag is in progress, the structure itself is made up of higher lows which means the momentum is bullish. Longs can be justified if you are working on time frames such as 5 min or 1 min because the proportional risk is small. If you are working on larger time frames like 30 min or above, the bear flag play makes more sense since price is near the previous swing high (87,500 area). At the moment there is no confirmation on the larger time frame for the swing trade short but a candle or a break of the lower trend line can occur this week.
The other play is simply waiting for the retest of the 80 to 78K area. This is not only a swing trade long location, but is a dollar cost average area for investing as well. If the 76K is cleared, price can revisit the 73K to 70K area (all time high before the election).
Whether any of these scenarios play out depends on what kind of catalysts we get in the coming weeks (surprises or scheduled economic events). The chart helps to identify price points of interest where we can measure potential and assess risk from, they do not offer any meaningful way to forecast the future.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
How you play this is going to depend on the time frames you typically operate within. If you day trade, even though a bear flag is in progress, the structure itself is made up of higher lows which means the momentum is bullish. Longs can be justified if you are working on time frames such as 5 min or 1 min because the proportional risk is small. If you are working on larger time frames like 30 min or above, the bear flag play makes more sense since price is near the previous swing high (87,500 area). At the moment there is no confirmation on the larger time frame for the swing trade short but a candle or a break of the lower trend line can occur this week.
The other play is simply waiting for the retest of the 80 to 78K area. This is not only a swing trade long location, but is a dollar cost average area for investing as well. If the 76K is cleared, price can revisit the 73K to 70K area (all time high before the election).
Whether any of these scenarios play out depends on what kind of catalysts we get in the coming weeks (surprises or scheduled economic events). The chart helps to identify price points of interest where we can measure potential and assess risk from, they do not offer any meaningful way to forecast the future.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
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Try Trade Scanner Pro for FREE: bit.ly/TSCPRO
Free Signal Every Week: bit.ly/signalwk
My discord community: bit.ly/inviteme2
Trade Bybit: bit.ly/bybreg
Tip With ETH: 0x94c9338fc3A9Ba0F1F930BF4e724C0A3EBB8437E
Free Signal Every Week: bit.ly/signalwk
My discord community: bit.ly/inviteme2
Trade Bybit: bit.ly/bybreg
Tip With ETH: 0x94c9338fc3A9Ba0F1F930BF4e724C0A3EBB8437E
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.