BTC/USD Monthly Chart - Volume POC Analysis
Updated
BTC/USD Volume Analysis - Bitstamp 1 month chart.
BTC is still in a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave Pattern, which is like a western Broadening Wedge Pattern.
BTC is also in a massive Ichimoku P-Wave Pattern, which is like a western Symmetrical Triangle or Pennant.
BTC is also in a massive Rising Wedge Pattern.
I have also added in various Support and Resistance lines on this chart as highlighted by the thin dotted straight white lines.
Here is a closer look at this Bitstamp monthly chart:
At the moment of typing this, BTC is still being hampered by its Key Resistance Area located with the dotted straight white lines with yellow shading.
Note that on the month of 1st Feb 2023, BTC broke out of its Falling Wedge Pattern and successfully re-tested it as support, 1st on the month staring 1st Feb 2023 and 2nd on the month starting 1st Mar 2023.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands we can see that the price is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this month chart. Note that the Lower Band has started to curve back around straight.
I have added a few FRVP (Fixed Range Volume Profile) indicators to every group of 3 one month candles on this visible chart, you can clearly see the various Points of Control (POC) for all those 3x one month candles which are indicated by the straight white line on each 3 month FRVP indicators. Looking at the month starting 1st Feb 2021, we can see that our Point of Control (POC) for those 3x one month candles is located at our UPPER Resistance/Support line of our Key Area of Resistance. If we look at the month starting 1st May 2022, we can see that our Point of Control (POC) for those 3x one month candles is located at out LOWER Resistance/Support line of our Key Area of Resistance.
Looking at the Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP), we can see where the Point of Control (POC) is for this charts Visible Range as highlighted by the Dashed straight white line.
Looking at the Volume on this Bitstamp 1 month chart, we can see that this month’s Volume Bar ended above its 20 Period Moving Average.
If we take a look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the Red Histograms have consistently degreased in size since Sept 2022. The MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards and the MACD Line looks very likely to cross back ABOVE the Signal Line (Orange Line) on this monthly chart. If/when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) it will create a new Green Histograms and a buy signal on this monthly chart for this indicator. When that happens it will be the first new Green Histogram since the month of 1st Dec 2021.
Looking at the Up/Down Volume Indicator for this Bitstamp chart, we can see the difference between the buyers and sellers as indicated by the Delta Line in the Volume Bars. Note that this useful indicator takes into account the whole Candle Wick so the full Open and Close price and not just the Body of the Candle.
If we take a look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength hasn’t turned upwards yet with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 21.11 and note the DAX Line is still under its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 26.34. Positive Momentum is sideways at the moment with the +DI (Green Line) at 22.05 and Negative Momentum is also sideways at the moment with the -DI (Red Line) at 19.06. A good sign to look out for on this indicator is when the ADX (Yellow Line) starts moving upwards and an eventually cross back ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (White Line) as well as an upwards trajectory for the +DI (Green Line) and a downwards trajectory for the -DI (Red Line) diverging apart form each other on this 1 month chart.
As stated in my previous BTC post, the Price needs to successfully CLOSE ABOVE its Key Resistance Area and turn that area into Strong Support. So it seems there might be very interesting times ahead for BTC and the whole Crypto market, especially if we get a Buy Signal on the MACD Indicator if/when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back ABOVE the Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 month chart.
I hope this post is helpful.
BTC is still in a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave Pattern, which is like a western Broadening Wedge Pattern.
BTC is also in a massive Ichimoku P-Wave Pattern, which is like a western Symmetrical Triangle or Pennant.
BTC is also in a massive Rising Wedge Pattern.
I have also added in various Support and Resistance lines on this chart as highlighted by the thin dotted straight white lines.
Here is a closer look at this Bitstamp monthly chart:
At the moment of typing this, BTC is still being hampered by its Key Resistance Area located with the dotted straight white lines with yellow shading.
Note that on the month of 1st Feb 2023, BTC broke out of its Falling Wedge Pattern and successfully re-tested it as support, 1st on the month staring 1st Feb 2023 and 2nd on the month starting 1st Mar 2023.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands we can see that the price is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this month chart. Note that the Lower Band has started to curve back around straight.
I have added a few FRVP (Fixed Range Volume Profile) indicators to every group of 3 one month candles on this visible chart, you can clearly see the various Points of Control (POC) for all those 3x one month candles which are indicated by the straight white line on each 3 month FRVP indicators. Looking at the month starting 1st Feb 2021, we can see that our Point of Control (POC) for those 3x one month candles is located at our UPPER Resistance/Support line of our Key Area of Resistance. If we look at the month starting 1st May 2022, we can see that our Point of Control (POC) for those 3x one month candles is located at out LOWER Resistance/Support line of our Key Area of Resistance.
Looking at the Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP), we can see where the Point of Control (POC) is for this charts Visible Range as highlighted by the Dashed straight white line.
Looking at the Volume on this Bitstamp 1 month chart, we can see that this month’s Volume Bar ended above its 20 Period Moving Average.
If we take a look at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the Red Histograms have consistently degreased in size since Sept 2022. The MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards and the MACD Line looks very likely to cross back ABOVE the Signal Line (Orange Line) on this monthly chart. If/when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) it will create a new Green Histograms and a buy signal on this monthly chart for this indicator. When that happens it will be the first new Green Histogram since the month of 1st Dec 2021.
Looking at the Up/Down Volume Indicator for this Bitstamp chart, we can see the difference between the buyers and sellers as indicated by the Delta Line in the Volume Bars. Note that this useful indicator takes into account the whole Candle Wick so the full Open and Close price and not just the Body of the Candle.
If we take a look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength hasn’t turned upwards yet with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 21.11 and note the DAX Line is still under its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 26.34. Positive Momentum is sideways at the moment with the +DI (Green Line) at 22.05 and Negative Momentum is also sideways at the moment with the -DI (Red Line) at 19.06. A good sign to look out for on this indicator is when the ADX (Yellow Line) starts moving upwards and an eventually cross back ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (White Line) as well as an upwards trajectory for the +DI (Green Line) and a downwards trajectory for the -DI (Red Line) diverging apart form each other on this 1 month chart.
As stated in my previous BTC post, the Price needs to successfully CLOSE ABOVE its Key Resistance Area and turn that area into Strong Support. So it seems there might be very interesting times ahead for BTC and the whole Crypto market, especially if we get a Buy Signal on the MACD Indicator if/when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back ABOVE the Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 month chart.
I hope this post is helpful.
Note
Here is roughly the same chart but this time on the Binance BTC/USD 1 Month Chart (Calculated by Trading-view) minus the various dotted support/resistance lines. You can see that there are slight differences with the VRVP POC and the FVPR POCs. Note that this chart doesn't have enough historical data when compared to Bitstamp.Note
Here is the same chart but this time on the Coinbase BTC/USD 1 Month Chart, again minus the various dotted support/resistance lines.It's interesting to see and compare the differences between the Bitstamp, Binance and Coinbase Volume Point of Control areas for the VRVP and the FVPR indicators.
I hope this post has been helpful.
Note
A look at my 6 Month Cycle BTC/USD Bitstamp chart with the VRVP POC level and various FRVP POC levels set to 4x 6 Month Candles.Note
This time I have added the Value Area High (VAH) and Value Area Low (VAL) levels for the VRVP indicator. What is also of interest is the Volume area from 27 ,289 to 25 ,611, the price at the moment is above this range but we have very low volume within this price range. Because of this low Volume Gap, we may drop back to the VRVP POC area especially if the Key Resistance Area continues to be strong resistance.Note
Let's see how this month ends.
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