Bitcoin cycles: comparison and forecast (must know)
- We are currently in the new bullish cycle on Bitcoin, based on physics, statistics, mathematics, and logic. But the market can sometimes be unpredictable and go to zero. In this case, we are all doomed.
- This is the LOG scale on the weekly / 2W chart. That basically means we can't go up at the same rate and angle because bitcoin would cost more than $10 billion in the next few years.
- This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
- On this particular chart, the bull market from 2015 to 2017 has an angle of 48 degrees. The bull market from 2019 to 2021 has an angle of 35 degrees. The prediction is that this current bull market has an angle of 27 degrees.
- On this particular chart, the bear market in 2014 has an angle of 51 degrees. The bear market in 2018 has an angle of 51 degrees, which is the same value as the previous bear market. Bear market 2022 has a lower angle of 44 degrees than the previous. The next bear market in 2026 should have a similar or lower angle than the previous bear markets.
- From a time perspective, classic bull markets last for 1064–1071 days, and bear markets last for 364–406 days, as you can see on the chart. With this data, we can predict that the current bull market is going to end sometime in September 2025.
- Hit "like" right now if you think this is an interesting analysis!
- I know more about Bitcoin than the majority out there, and I have been trading it for a long time—longer than the majority out there. Bitcoin moves in cycles because of the halving events that cut in half the reward for miners.
- Now the question is: What is the price going to be in September 2025? Well, Bitcoin is not going to make you extremely rich. It's too late for the party; you should join in 2010 or 2014, when people got rewarded for their skills to buy Bitcoin cheap and early. But still, bitcoin is a store of value and will increase your wealth by a significant amount, compared to gold or stocks. 140,000 USDT is a reasonable target for 2025!
- If you want to make 100x or 100000x your money, the only option for you is to search for hidden gems or use high leverage on the futures market with a trading system and strategy. Both are indeed very hard and risky, but they're doable!
- Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
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