In today’s session, BTC has once again posted a decline of over 2%, as the previous bullish bias struggles to break through the $95,000 resistance level. The neutrality forming on the chart around this zone reflects the uncertainty in market sentiment, which is also evident in the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, currently oscillating in the neutral range at 45 points. The market appears to be watching closely for developments in the trade war and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on Wednesday before resuming the buying pressure that has driven BTC in recent weeks.
Short-Term Bullish Trend
Since April 9, a sustained bullish trend has been forming in BTC’s price, until momentum stalled near the $95,000 resistance zone. Prolonged price neutrality around this level may begin to slow the upward momentum that had been developing and lead to a consolidation phase. However, the long-term outlook still shows a clear dominance of buying interest.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line approached the overbought zone near the 70 level, but has since begun to trend downward, suggesting that the recent buying momentum is weakening. This opens the door for potential short-term bearish corrections.
MACD: The MACD histogram is slowly approaching the zero line, which may indicate a balance of forces in the market. Furthermore, if a crossover between the MACD line and the signal line occurs in the short term, it could be interpreted as the start of a sustained bearish momentum that may affect upward price movements.
Key Levels to Watch:
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Short-Term Bullish Trend
Since April 9, a sustained bullish trend has been forming in BTC’s price, until momentum stalled near the $95,000 resistance zone. Prolonged price neutrality around this level may begin to slow the upward momentum that had been developing and lead to a consolidation phase. However, the long-term outlook still shows a clear dominance of buying interest.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line approached the overbought zone near the 70 level, but has since begun to trend downward, suggesting that the recent buying momentum is weakening. This opens the door for potential short-term bearish corrections.
MACD: The MACD histogram is slowly approaching the zero line, which may indicate a balance of forces in the market. Furthermore, if a crossover between the MACD line and the signal line occurs in the short term, it could be interpreted as the start of a sustained bearish momentum that may affect upward price movements.
Key Levels to Watch:
- $95,000 – Major Resistance: The most relevant resistance level for BTC, aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A breakout above this zone could confirm the strength of buying interest and pave the way for a more extended bullish trend.
- $90,000 – Nearby Support: This level aligns with neutral consolidation areas from previous sessions and could serve as a short-term support in the face of potential pullbacks.
- $86,500 – Key Support: This level is marked by the 50-period simple moving average. A drop to this level could break the short-term bullish structure and extend bearish momentum.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.