Bitcoin
Long
Updated

BTC (Shor-term: Bullish) [Longer-Term: Bearish]

276
Short-Term Target: 98k, potential run to 100k.
Long-Term Target: 87k, waiting for more confluences.

We are currently in a wedge formation. The VWAP, VAL, and Daily S/R levels are in play, and we've already seen a bounce. Today, the US markets are closed due to the death of Jimmy Carter. Tomorrow, the markets will reopen, and the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) numbers are expected to be released. These numbers are anticipated to be lower. If not, prices may decline sharply.

SP500: Consolidation with positive movement in the 10-year bond yield.
Upcoming: Trump is set to return to the White House on January 20.

Tomorrow's Expectations:
  • SP500: An aggressive upward move is expected, followed by a potential downturn due to tariffs and unstable geopolitical situations.
  • BTC: Expected to follow the SP500, maintaining a strong correlation (88% over the last 100 days).


Technicals:
  • Indicators: RSI, VWAP, AO, ADX, MFI all suggest potential pump-and-dump activity.
  • Weekly: Bearish
  • Daily: Bearish (indicative of a bull and bear struggle)
  • 4H: Bearish with short-term bullish potential
  • 30 Min: Bullish


15-Min Insights:

  • Open Interest (OI): Decreasing while price decreases, with volatile volume – Semi-bullish.
  • Delta: Bullish
  • CVD: Bullish


Setup: A+
Note
We need to hold the resistance of parallel channels. snapshot

other wise 91k entry or 90500 entry
Note
30min Indicators pattern
snapshot
Note
the 4h indicator pattern too
snapshot
Trade active
SFP entry
Note
The scenario is in play
There is no real sign otherwise.

Short-term correction coming

Delta Negative

Target: 0.5 Fib and Fib Time and Circle confirmed that

RSI negative
ADX bull and bear fight now
Money is negative
AO decreasing.

snapshot
Note
we still in play. The ES! had SFP and the 3 jump at vwap and golden Fib

snapshot
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I am have closed 80% of my position and looking for potential shorts. And moved my stoploss above my entry.

Indicators: Pointing to short-term shorts
Volume: No volume/ decreased = bearish
VWAP: Resistance

snapshot
Trade closed: target reached
we closed we are looking or longs here as ES! also could go up. As everything went as predicted.

looking just for more confirmation on Indicators or sweeping the liquidity at 90-88k go higher up to 95k-102k

snapshot

lets we wait and see
Note
I am long since 89500 as we rekt longs and shaked the weak hands. It was huge liquidity soon

Tagt; around 94k and then short

snapshot
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took all profits and looking for shorts as we are at gold fib, prepoc and another poc and deceraling volume and declining OI

snapshot
Note
My sentiment: is very bearish, we are short squeezing and we should reverse soon as the open interest at the bottom. we are down 4.2k * 95k = 386M short positions 145M already rekt so still have some room till 101k BTC level.

Whales just filling their orders.

snapshot

We I see something like this I will short

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