1/ Short-Term (Intraday): Chop City
BTC is stuck in a tight range between 95K (demand) and 98K (supply). Oscillators mixed, momentum fading near resistance.
Play: Fade extremes, scalp carefully.
Watch: Breakout above 98K or breakdown below 95K for momentum triggers.
2/ Swing Traders (Days–Weeks): Cautiously Bullish
Weekly bullish structure intact, but daily charts flashing caution (Three Black Crows, Double Top, RSI stretched).
Ideal scenario: Buy dips near 96K–95K if momentum resets bullishly.
Invalidation: Daily close below 94.5K flips bias neutral/bearish.
3/ Long-Term Investors (Months+): Bullish with Caution
Macro backdrop remains supportive (SPX bullish, DXY weak, yields stable/rising). Institutional BTC flows steady.
BUT monthly chart shows bearish divergence—momentum slowing.
Core strategy: Accumulate on major dips (ideal: 87K–76K).
Critical invalidation: Monthly close below $76K demands risk-off rebalance.
4/ Macro Catalysts to Watch
- Equity markets (SPX) & bond yields (US10Y) maintaining risk-on stance.
- USD weakness (DXY bearish) supports BTC upside.
- Watch ETF news, institutional flows, and altcoin rotation signals for early clues.
5/ Risk Management
Short-term: Tight stops, quick profits.
Swing: Respect daily structure; cut below $94.5K.
Long-term: Hold bullish conviction above $76K monthly support.
Bottom Line for Traders & Investors
- Short-term: Range-bound scalps
- Swing: Buy dips cautiously
- Long-term: Bullish, but respect slowing momentum
Stay agile, manage risk, and trade smart. Good luck this week! 🍀
BTC is stuck in a tight range between 95K (demand) and 98K (supply). Oscillators mixed, momentum fading near resistance.
Play: Fade extremes, scalp carefully.
Watch: Breakout above 98K or breakdown below 95K for momentum triggers.
2/ Swing Traders (Days–Weeks): Cautiously Bullish
Weekly bullish structure intact, but daily charts flashing caution (Three Black Crows, Double Top, RSI stretched).
Ideal scenario: Buy dips near 96K–95K if momentum resets bullishly.
Invalidation: Daily close below 94.5K flips bias neutral/bearish.
3/ Long-Term Investors (Months+): Bullish with Caution
Macro backdrop remains supportive (SPX bullish, DXY weak, yields stable/rising). Institutional BTC flows steady.
BUT monthly chart shows bearish divergence—momentum slowing.
Core strategy: Accumulate on major dips (ideal: 87K–76K).
Critical invalidation: Monthly close below $76K demands risk-off rebalance.
4/ Macro Catalysts to Watch
- Equity markets (SPX) & bond yields (US10Y) maintaining risk-on stance.
- USD weakness (DXY bearish) supports BTC upside.
- Watch ETF news, institutional flows, and altcoin rotation signals for early clues.
5/ Risk Management
Short-term: Tight stops, quick profits.
Swing: Respect daily structure; cut below $94.5K.
Long-term: Hold bullish conviction above $76K monthly support.
Bottom Line for Traders & Investors
- Short-term: Range-bound scalps
- Swing: Buy dips cautiously
- Long-term: Bullish, but respect slowing momentum
Stay agile, manage risk, and trade smart. Good luck this week! 🍀
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.