One month ago 12500$ was acting as a strong support but now it is a resistance, and it will be interesting to see can BTC break it.
I think that it can, and than 14000$ will be the critical point for bitcoin. Around this level, we can find interception of the bearish trend line that connects tops on the chart and the next Fibonacci level which was also very important for bitcoin around December 25th. Here might be the start point of the third down wave that forecasts a big part of the community. But even if that happens and Bitcoin start going down again, I don't believe that it can fall below 9500$.