A look at the supply and demand shifts for BTC during the past 180 days. It looks like we are nearing the end of a full cycle, from accumulation to mark up and now entering the end of distribution. We begin phase D of distribution once/if price returns to the former trading range of $7600-$8400. I do believe that we are in a clear bull market, my expectation for the markdown (phase E) would be a bottom somewhere in between the .382 - .5 fib ($6100ish-$6700ish). This has confluence with a touch of the 50 day MA, a common retest during BTC bull markets.