BitcoinLong
Bitcoin's 2024 Halving to 2025 Peak: Will BTC Reach $294K?
đź“ŚHistorical Observations
- 2012 Halving → 2013 Top:
Duration: ~1 year.
Price increase: ~8,600% (from ~$12 to ~$1,150).
- 2016 Halving → 2017 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~2,900% (from ~$650 to ~$19,500).
- 2020 Halving → 2021 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~900% (from ~$8,600 to ~$69,000).
- 2024 Halving → Projected 2025 Top:
Halving price: ~$64,000.
đź“ŚIdentified Patterns
- Time from Halving to Peak: Peaks occur around 1.33 to 1.5 years after the halving.
- Diminishing Returns: Growth rates decrease with each cycle:
2012 to 2016: ~66% reduction in returns.
2016 to 2020: ~69% reduction in returns.
Expected reduction for 2024 cycle: ~60-70%.
đź“ŚProjection for the 2024 Cycle
Duration to Peak:
Add 1.33 to 1.5 years to the halving date (April 2024).
Projected top: June to October 2025.
Price Growth:
Assuming diminishing returns, we estimate 300% to 360% price growth from the halving price.
Next Top Price=Halving Price×(1+Growth Rate)
300% growth: $64,000 Ă— 4 = $256,000.
360% growth: $64,000 Ă— 4.6 = $294,400.
đź“ŚFinal Projection
Next Bitcoin Peak Price: Estimated between $256,000 and $294,400.
Timing: Likely between June and October 2025.
Here’s to a successful and prosperous trading year ahead! 🎉
You’ve got this! Let’s make 2025 your best trading year yet.
~ Rich
- 2012 Halving → 2013 Top:
Duration: ~1 year.
Price increase: ~8,600% (from ~$12 to ~$1,150).
- 2016 Halving → 2017 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~2,900% (from ~$650 to ~$19,500).
- 2020 Halving → 2021 Top:
Duration: ~1.5 years.
Price increase: ~900% (from ~$8,600 to ~$69,000).
- 2024 Halving → Projected 2025 Top:
Halving price: ~$64,000.
đź“ŚIdentified Patterns
- Time from Halving to Peak: Peaks occur around 1.33 to 1.5 years after the halving.
- Diminishing Returns: Growth rates decrease with each cycle:
2012 to 2016: ~66% reduction in returns.
2016 to 2020: ~69% reduction in returns.
Expected reduction for 2024 cycle: ~60-70%.
đź“ŚProjection for the 2024 Cycle
Duration to Peak:
Add 1.33 to 1.5 years to the halving date (April 2024).
Projected top: June to October 2025.
Price Growth:
Assuming diminishing returns, we estimate 300% to 360% price growth from the halving price.
Next Top Price=Halving Price×(1+Growth Rate)
300% growth: $64,000 Ă— 4 = $256,000.
360% growth: $64,000 Ă— 4.6 = $294,400.
đź“ŚFinal Projection
Next Bitcoin Peak Price: Estimated between $256,000 and $294,400.
Timing: Likely between June and October 2025.
Here’s to a successful and prosperous trading year ahead! 🎉
You’ve got this! Let’s make 2025 your best trading year yet.
~ Rich
Trading Made Simple; and Rule-Based
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RichTL.com
instagram.com/richthesignalyst
Telegram
t.me/thesignalyst
Best CFD broker
cutt.ly/TickmillReal
Get Funded up to $200,000 (Crypto)
cutt.ly/PropW
Trading Made Simple; and Rule-Based
RichTL.com
Instagram
instagram.com/richthesignalyst
Telegram
t.me/thesignalyst
Best CFD broker
cutt.ly/TickmillReal
Get Funded up to $200,000 (Crypto)
cutt.ly/PropW
RichTL.com
instagram.com/richthesignalyst
Telegram
t.me/thesignalyst
Best CFD broker
cutt.ly/TickmillReal
Get Funded up to $200,000 (Crypto)
cutt.ly/PropW
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