6 days till Weekly close
Confirmed candle: 5.5 of 9 points
Unconfirmed candle: 7 of 9 points
Each technical condition can be 0, 0.5 or 1 points.
Daily chart:
It did test the 19k price and got a strong support move back into the long term resistance trendline.

4h chart:

If not, worst case long term is somewhere around 9-7k to find the absolute depression. While hang-up on bottom fishing.
Confirmed candle: 5.5 of 9 points
Unconfirmed candle: 7 of 9 points
Each technical condition can be 0, 0.5 or 1 points.
Daily chart:
It did test the 19k price and got a strong support move back into the long term resistance trendline.

4h chart:

If not, worst case long term is somewhere around 9-7k to find the absolute depression. While hang-up on bottom fishing.
Note
Converting points into percent chance of a price increase.Above convert to:
Monthly: 44 %
Weekly Confirmed candle: 61 %
Weekly Unconfirmed candle: 78 %
Daily: 56 %
Note
Updates on the Daily and 4h charts with:- Daily unconfirmed candle 33 %
- 4h unconfirmed candle 44 %
Note
A bad habit of being too cautious of unconfirmed potential data.- 4h confirmed into 56 %
- new Daily unconfirmed 39 %
Note
Misread of monthly data, correct chance: 67 %Confirmed weekly: 72 %
Confirmed daily: 44 %
Confirmed 4h: 56 %
Note
Monthly (67%) Linear to Log Scale Side by Side:<deleted>
Note
No update last weekly close because either market move is possible from the current price structure. And many possible psychological state model pattern fit too, like e.g. the good ol'sucker rally.Or in other words: Too many variables to make a calculated guess.
Yet that to be said, I still trade as usual on Bitcoin Futures and hold around 11% of my portfolio in cryptocurrencies while having no interest in selling for neither greed nor fear.
Also the time around to go out and touch some grass. A vacation as some call it.
A high number of the combined indicator values at support price levels yet still mean a possible great long opportunity.
log to linear:
Note
Candle of the above comment is still open. A repainting is possible.Note
Both Weekly and Monthly timeframes still look strong but first indications of weakness appear on the open weekly candle with a current lower high and a decreasing macd histogram.Weekly snap:
Daily (9 hour till close):
I did take profits and recommend it. Yet, I think it is always better to bet on the collective human greed rather than its fear.
Note
with 'conflicting' I mean technical indications with opposing signalsNote
how bull market works, simplified: youtu.be/0SYEpE95f7cRelated publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.