Bitcoin
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Will BTCUSD see $90,000 ever again? Phoenix FX mid term analysis

103
BTCUSD 4-Hour Outlook: The Week Ahead

🔴 Key Resistance Zones

First Resistance
$107 000–$108 500
Recent swing highs where price stalled before the last leg down. Clearing and closing above $105 000 on the 4H would open the door toward this zone.

Final Resistance
$111 000–$113 000 (If broken expect a run to $115,000)
The all-time-high area. Heavy sell-side liquidity lives here and past price action shows repeated FVG fills and wicks into this region.


🔵 Critical Support & Buy Zones

Discount Buy Zone:
$92 000–$89 000 (50% at $89 150)
A deeper weekly FVG and longer-term trend support. The ultimate “buy the dip” area if the premium zone gives way.

Premium Buy Zone:
$100 000 – $99 000 (50% at $99 450)
A 4H Fair Value Gap that aligns with our higher-timeframe trend support. The recent bounce here signals strength—and a possible launchpad back into resistance.


📊 Weekly Price Action Scenarios

Bullish Theory:

If BTC can close cleanly above $105 000 on the 4H, look for a run into $107 000–$108 500 (First Resistance). A follow-through push could then target $111 000–$113 000 (Final Resistance) by week’s end with a potential further move to $115 000 where the 8 year trend will be tested again.

Bearish Theory:

Failure to reclaim $105 000, or a clear rejection in the $107 000–$108 500 zone, could usher in a retest of the Premium Buy Zone (~$100 000). A break below $99 000 would shift focus toward the Discount Buy Zone around $92 000–$89 000.

💡 Trade Ideas for the Week

Potential Long Ideas

Entry: 4H candle close above $105 000

Targets: First take-profit at $108 500; stretch target $112 000–$113 000

Stop-Loss: Below $103 000

Zone Re-Entry Long

Entry: Bullish 4H candle close in $100 000–$99 000

Targets: $107 000 then $112 000

Stop-Loss: Below $97 500


Potential Short Ideas


Entry: Bearish price action (e.g., engulfing candle or wick rejection) in $107 000–$108 500

Targets: $100 000→$92 000

Stop-Loss: Above $109 000

Just a Heads-Up:
This is my take on the charts—not gospel, not financial advice, and definitely not a crystal ball 🔮.
Trading is part skill, part patience, and part “what just happened?” 😅

We all see things a little differently, and that’s the beauty of it.
So if you’ve got a hot take, wild theory, or just want to drop some chart wisdom—hit the comments!
Let’s grow, learn, and laugh through the madness together. 🚀📈

Each one, teach one.

— Phoenix FX Team 🔥🦅

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